Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.44
assuming max odds 1.68
assuming max odds 4.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 18.20%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 59.20%; Draw: 22.60%. For Hammarby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -0.545%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.59%EV -1.01%E -0.186%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.80%E -0.651%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.74%E -0.323%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.80%EV -2.83%E -0.531%K -0.653%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.41%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.79%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-16 14:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.93%E -0.925%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -5.38%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -1.14%E -0.681%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.16I 19.38%NM 18.31%EV -6.11%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.31%EV -4.10%E -2.53%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -8.68%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -7.20%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.12%E -0.490%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 14:08 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.71%EV -10.61%E -7.03%K -20.80%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.26%EV -8.45%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.58%EV -11.75%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.92%EV -11.16%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-16 13:48 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 14:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -13.57%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.46%EV -10.02%E -6.59%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-16 14:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.12%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-16 14:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98% | 1.1% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 14:25 |