Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalmar FF v Hammarby IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 14:30 UTC

Score final : Kalmar FF 0–4 Hammarby IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 18.20%5.50cote équitable
EV -1.01%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.228%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.47%18.29%18.27%19.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.985.005.4422.22%20.07%20.00%18.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.20%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.545%
Avantage -0.324%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.79%58.99%59.26%60.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.511.571.571.6866.23%63.55%63.69%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.60%4.42cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.637%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%22.72%22.48%24.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.014.004.3327.03%24.92%25.00%23.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kalmar FF (Local) : 18.20% ; Hammarby IF (Visiteur) : 59.20% ; Match nul : 22.60%. Pour Hammarby IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.68, pour une espérance de -0.545% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯5.44I 18.38%NM 17.59%EV -1.01%E -0.186%K -0.228%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.17%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.80%E -0.651%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 14:29
BetAnything🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.74%E -0.323%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.08%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:25
1xBet🎯5.34I 18.73%NM 17.80%EV -2.83%E -0.531%K -0.653%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.41%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.79%EV -5.74%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:29
BetUS🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.73%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 14:29
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.88%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 14:28
FanDuel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.56%E -0.672%K -0.828%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.34%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.50%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.81%EV -0.545%E -0.324%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 13:49
DraftKings🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -5.87%E -3.69%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.93%E -0.925%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:24
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 14:19
Betsson🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:19
NordicBet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -4.47%E -0.852%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 14:19
Coolbet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.47%EV -5.38%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.52%EV -1.14%E -0.681%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 14:24
GTbets🎯5.16I 19.38%NM 18.31%EV -6.11%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.31%EV -4.10%E -2.53%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.38%EV -8.68%E -2.15%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 14:14
SportsBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -7.20%E -1.41%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 14:10
LeoVegas🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.19%EV -5.28%E -3.30%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.87%EV -2.12%E -0.490%K -0.637%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 14:14
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.06%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 14:19
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 14:14
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:20
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:24
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 14:20
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:09
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 14:08
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.02%E -1.80%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.71%EV -10.61%E -7.03%K -20.80%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.26%EV -8.45%E -2.09%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 13:49
Grosvenor🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.30%EV -3.50%E -2.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -10.71%E -2.71%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 13:49
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -10.84%E -2.21%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -8.24%E -5.32%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.58%EV -11.75%E -2.42%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.50%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.92%EV -11.16%E -2.84%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 14:18
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:49
Casumo🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:49
betPARX🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -4.69%E -2.91%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 13:48
Winamax (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.95%EV -8.83%E -5.74%K -16.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.32%E -1.79%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 14:29
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -12.66%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -11.84%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 14:09
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -13.57%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.46%E -4.09%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -12.97%E -3.37%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:20
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:20
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:20
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 13:49
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.06%E -4.49%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.23%E -4.06%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 13:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.32%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.46%EV -10.02%E -6.59%K -19.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -9.58%E -2.40%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 13:49
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.26%EV -16.30%E -3.54%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.79%EV -7.65%E -4.90%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -16.36%E -4.42%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 13:49
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -18.12%E -4.03%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.38%EV -9.42%E -6.16%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -14.10%E -3.71%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:20
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-08-16 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-16 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.35%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.67%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.98%1.1%2026-08-16 14:25
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.20%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.28%2.0%2026-08-16 14:25