Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 2.70
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 36.05%; BK Hacken (Visit): 37.23%; Draw: 26.73%. For Kalmar FF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.927%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -0.875%E -0.318%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -9.16%E -3.75%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -18.49%E -6.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.37%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.45%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -4.84%E -1.83%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -4.69%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.93%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.06%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -2.45%E -0.672%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.97%EV -5.92%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -18.49%E -6.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -16.23%E -7.22%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.58%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -9.94%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -14.21%E -5.97%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-09-20 11:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |