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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kalmar FF v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 0–5 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kalmar FF (Local)

Predicción 36.05%2.77momio equitativo
EV +0.927%
Ventaja +0.331%
Kelly +0.515%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.22%35.89%36.05%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.592.602.8042.02%38.68%38.46%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 37.23%2.69momio equitativo
EV +0.519%
Ventaja +0.192%
Kelly +0.305%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.67%37.30%37.21%39.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.502.502.7044.44%40.01%40.00%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.73%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -0.672%
Kelly -0.925%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.81%26.74%29.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.373.6533.33%29.73%29.67%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kalmar FF (Local): 36.05%; BK Hacken (Visitante): 37.23%; Empate: 26.73%. Para Kalmar FF (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.77. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.927%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-20 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-20 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV +0.927%E +0.331%K +0.515%G +0.005%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV +0.519%E +0.192%K +0.305%G +0.002%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-20 11:55
GTbets🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.41%EV -0.875%E -0.318%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%EV -9.16%E -3.75%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.81%EV -5.66%E -1.60%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-20 11:24
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:54
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -14.48%E -4.52%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:55
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -2.68%E -0.992%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -18.49%E -6.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:45
Betsson🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.37%EV -3.04%E -1.13%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.45%EV -5.44%E -2.14%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:54
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.18%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.94%EV -4.86%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-20 11:59
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 11:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -4.48%E -1.69%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 11:34
1xBet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.96%EV -4.84%E -1.83%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.08%EV -4.69%E -1.83%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -5.93%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:58
Coolbet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.64%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.06%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.30%EV -2.45%E -0.672%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:33
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:34
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:34
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -3.20%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:34
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 11:44
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.37%EV -5.56%E -2.12%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:54
Bovada🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.97%EV -5.92%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.82%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 11:49
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.12%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 11:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:33
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.28%E -2.42%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.07%E -1.99%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -17.15%E -5.53%K -8.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 11:54
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:22
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:23
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:54
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -18.49%E -6.06%K -9.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -8.08%E -3.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -7.67%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -19.82%E -6.61%K -9.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.79%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 11:59
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.13%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:34
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:34
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:34
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.65%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.81%E -3.58%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -9.89%E -3.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -16.23%E -7.22%K -12.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.47%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-20 11:34
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.46%E -1.85%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.87%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.80%EV -7.80%E -2.26%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 11:24
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.69%E -4.77%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -8.79%E -3.59%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-20 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.58%EV -13.49%E -5.62%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -12.51%E -5.32%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.05%EV -9.94%E -2.95%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:34
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -14.21%E -5.97%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -11.39%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.14%E -4.04%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-20 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-20 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-20 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-09-20 11:50
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.96%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-20 11:50