Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna

2026-08-10 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 70.74%1.41fair odd
EV -4.51%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -12.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.12%70.74%70.30%72.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3580.00%77.32%77.22%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 11.38%8.79fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.385%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.03%11.38%11.42%16.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.107.458.008.5019.61%13.42%12.50%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.88%5.59fair odd
EV +5.52%
Edge +0.935%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.84%17.88%18.28%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.455.195.055.9022.47%19.28%19.80%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Sirius (Local): 70.74%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 11.38%; Draw: 17.88%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.90, producing a positive expected value of +5.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 72.47%EV -8.75%E -6.78%K -30.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV +5.52%E +0.935%K +1.13%G +0.062%7.0%2026-08-02 15:35
SportsBet1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -10.16%E -8.00%K -37.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.13%EV +1.94%E +0.340%K +0.413%G +0.008%8.8%2026-08-02 15:29
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.75%E -6.78%K -30.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -8.75%E -6.78%K -30.17%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 16:35
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -20.34%E -2.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:25
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.74%EV -11.58%E -9.26%K -46.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.96%EV -14.65%E -1.95%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -1.64%E -0.298%K -0.364%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 15:29
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.92%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.71%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.42%EV -6.69%E -0.816%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.66%EV -5.21%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 69.31%EV -10.16%E -8.00%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -28.88%E -4.62%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.61%EV -5.21%E -0.984%K -1.21%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-02 15:24
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.63%EV -10.87%E -8.63%K -41.82%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -31.72%E -5.29%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.96%EV -8.79%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-02 15:24
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:54
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.97%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 69.30%EV -10.87%E -8.63%K -41.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.23%EV -24.90%E -3.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-02 15:25
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 69.33%EV -11.58%E -9.26%K -46.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.33%EV -26.03%E -4.01%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.33%EV -10.58%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-02 15:29
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -3.28%E -0.385%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:04
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -4.51%E -3.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -3.28%E -0.385%K -0.437%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -14.16%E -2.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 17:04
Betclic (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 64.12%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.72%EV -41.97%E -8.23%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.16%EV -20.41%E -4.59%K -5.92%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-02 17:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 67.91%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.26%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.83%16.9%2026-08-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 17:10