Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 8.50
assuming max odds 5.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Sirius (Local): 65.27%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 14.64%; Draw: 20.09%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.83. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.41%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164% | 2.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -11.88%E -8.80%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.46%E +0.482%K +0.600%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -11.88%E -8.80%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.46%E +0.482%K +0.600%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +3.92%E +0.552%K +0.642%G +0.025% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.56%E -0.529%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -10.57%E -7.72%K -28.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -3.57%E -0.743%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -13.84%E -10.48%K -43.24%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.57%E -0.743%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -15.14%E -11.65%K -50.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -15.14%E -11.65%K -50.48%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.82%EV +0.843%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.84%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.17%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV +0.111%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 20.19%EV -7.18%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.21%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.21%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.47%EV -17.75%E -14.09%K -68.29%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.78%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -1.94%E -0.289%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -1.94%E -0.289%K -0.340%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.24%EV -2.08%E -0.312%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 6.68I 14.97%NM 14.32%EV -2.23%E -0.334%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.18%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 16:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.60%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -12.61%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.01%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.60%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.93%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -10.72%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.28%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-10 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -4.05%E -2.75%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-10 16:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 16:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-10 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.01%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.81%EV -16.57%E -2.91%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23% | 2.0% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
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