Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

IK Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna

Начало: 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC

Итог: IK Sirius 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

IK Sirius (Хозяева)

Прогноз 65.27%1.53справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -2.29%
Kelly -7.07%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.48

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
62.76%65.34%65.15%70.53%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.261.401.401.4879.37%71.53%71.43%67.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

IF Brommapojkarna (Гости)

Прогноз 14.64%6.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +24.41%
Преимущество +2.87%
Kelly +3.25%
Рост +0.794%

при максимальном коэффициенте 8.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.45%14.56%14.79%15.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.706.606.508.5017.54%15.16%15.38%11.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.09%4.98справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.49%
Преимущество +1.57%
Kelly +1.93%
Рост +0.164%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.02%20.10%20.07%21.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.644.605.4023.81%21.55%21.74%18.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: IK Sirius (Хозяева): 65.27%; IF Brommapojkarna (Гости): 14.64%; Ничья: 20.09%. Для исхода «IF Brommapojkarna (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 6.83. 16 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 8.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +24.41%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164%2.7%2026-08-10 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164%2.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.53%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.45%EV +24.41%E +2.87%K +3.25%G +0.794%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +8.49%E +1.57%K +1.93%G +0.164%2.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -11.88%E -8.80%K -33.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.46%E +0.482%K +0.600%G +0.015%7.0%2026-08-10 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.22%EV -11.88%E -8.80%K -33.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV +2.46%E +0.482%K +0.600%G +0.015%7.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV +9.77%E +1.30%K +1.50%G +0.147%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV +3.92%E +0.552%K +0.642%G +0.025%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -2.56%E -0.529%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -10.57%E -7.72%K -28.58%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -3.57%E -0.743%K -0.939%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.33%EV -13.84%E -10.48%K -43.24%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -3.57%E -0.743%K -0.939%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -15.14%E -11.65%K -50.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-10 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -15.14%E -11.65%K -50.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV +2.45%E +0.350%K +0.409%G +0.010%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-10 16:55
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.39%E -2.29%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.82%EV +0.843%E +0.122%K +0.143%G +0.001%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.84%EV -12.41%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 16:50
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.17%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%6.84I 14.62%NM 13.64%EV +0.111%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.19%EV -7.18%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.21%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-10 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.61%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.21%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%4.3%2026-08-10 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -12.53%E -9.35%K -36.86%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-10 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 68.47%EV -17.75%E -14.09%K -68.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.78%EV -1.21%E -0.179%K -0.210%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-10 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -1.94%E -0.289%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:45
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -1.94%E -0.289%K -0.340%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.24%EV -2.08%E -0.312%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.06%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.51%EV -4.70%E -3.22%K -10.22%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.32%EV -2.23%E -0.334%K -0.393%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.18%EV -4.77%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-10 16:55
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 16:54
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV +0.449%E +0.090%K +0.112%G +0.001%6.8%2026-08-10 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.31%E -5.15%K -17.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 16:33
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.92%E -7.19%K -26.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-10 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -4.87%E -0.749%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-10 16:55
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.60%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -12.61%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.01%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -8.52%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.54%EV -11.60%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.63%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.82%EV -9.26%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.93%EV -9.27%E -6.67%K -23.77%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.79%EV -10.72%E -1.76%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.28%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-10 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.19%EV -4.05%E -2.75%K -8.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.35%E -3.69%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -4.57%E -0.963%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 16:55
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 16:49
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 16:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 16:48
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -8.62%E -6.15%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-10 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -11.23%E -8.26%K -31.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -12.18%E -2.03%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -13.01%E -3.00%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-10 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -6.01%E -4.17%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -15.84%E -2.76%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -15.62%E -3.72%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93%EV -7.96%E -5.65%K -19.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.81%EV -16.57%E -2.91%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.26%EV -10.60%E -2.38%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-10 16:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-08-10 16:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.49%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%0.8%2026-08-10 16:40
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.23%2.0%2026-08-10 16:55