A Escola das Odds

IK Sirius v GAIS

Início: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 2–1 GAIS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Previsão 53.96%1.85odd justa
EV -3.42%
Vantagem -1.91%
Kelly -4.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.25%53.90%54.07%56.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.561.701.701.7964.10%58.80%58.82%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

GAIS (Visitante)

Previsão 21.72%4.60odd justa
EV +10.78%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +2.63%
Crescimento +0.283%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.15%21.71%21.86%23.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.334.355.1026.67%23.11%22.99%19.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.32%4.11odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.367%
Kelly -0.488%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.05%24.39%24.07%25.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.713.704.0530.30%26.95%27.03%24.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 11:30
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.17%E +0.668%K +0.846%G +0.027%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Coolbet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.31%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -1.49%E -0.367%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 11:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.80%EV -6.11%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:48
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 11:30
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 11:30
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -12.05%E -7.39%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:30
1xBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.28%EV -4.21%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.09%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV -2.46%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 10:00
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:40
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:39
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:40
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:40
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 11:30
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-24 11:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:50
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.10%EV -15.83%E -10.15%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -16.08%E -4.66%K -6.56%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 11:40
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:49
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 11:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:40
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:39
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:30
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.06%EV -10.97%E -6.65%K -16.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.03%E -2.97%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.91%EV -9.27%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 11:38
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 53.58%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-24 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 11:40
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -17.46%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-24 11:18
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.55%E -4.95%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -19.73%E -5.98%K -8.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-24 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-05-24 11:40
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-05-24 11:50