L’École des cotesIK Sirius v GAIS
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
IK Sirius (Local)
Prévision 53.96%1.85cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -1.91%
Kelly -4.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.25%53.90%54.07%56.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.701.701.7964.10%58.80%58.82%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
GAIS (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.72%4.60cote équitable
EV +10.78%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +0.283%
avec la cote maximale 5.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.15%21.71%21.86%23.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.334.355.1026.67%23.11%22.99%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.32%4.11cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.367%
Kelly -0.488%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.39%24.07%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.713.704.0530.30%26.95%27.03%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.17%E +0.668%K +0.846%G +0.027% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.31%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -1.49%E -0.367%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.80%EV -6.11%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -12.05%E -7.39%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.28%EV -4.21%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.09%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV -2.46%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.10%EV -15.83%E -10.15%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -16.08%E -4.66%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.06%EV -10.97%E -6.65%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.03%E -2.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.91%EV -9.27%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 11:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.58%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -17.46%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-24 11:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.55%E -4.95%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -19.73%E -5.98%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |