La escuela de los momiosIK Sirius v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Sirius (Local)
Predicción 53.96%1.85momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -1.91%
Kelly -4.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.25%53.90%54.07%56.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.701.701.7964.10%58.80%58.82%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 21.72%4.60momio equitativo
EV +10.78%
Ventaja +2.11%
Kelly +2.63%
Crecimiento +0.283%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.15%21.71%21.86%23.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.334.355.1026.67%23.11%22.99%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.32%4.11momio equitativo
EV -1.49%
Ventaja -0.367%
Kelly -0.488%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.39%24.07%25.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.704.0530.30%26.95%27.03%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.44%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.15%EV +10.78%E +2.11%K +2.63%G +0.283% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%EV -2.70%E -0.676%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV +3.17%E +0.668%K +0.846%G +0.027% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -10.43%E -6.29%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.09%E +0.444%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.31%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.76%EV -1.49%E -0.367%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 11:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.39%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.81%EV -0.085%E -0.018%K -0.024%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.80%EV -6.11%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 11:48 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -12.05%E -7.39%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -2.26%E -0.502%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.28%EV -4.21%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.09%EV -9.03%E -2.41%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| GTbets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.24%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.82%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.94%EV -2.46%E -0.613%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| BetUS | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -5.52%E -1.27%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -11.22%E -3.07%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.10%EV -15.83%E -10.15%K -28.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -6.60%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -16.08%E -4.66%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -7.69%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.57%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.77%E -2.09%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -5.14%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 11:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.00%E -2.70%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -7.20%E -4.18%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -10.95%E -2.67%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.06%EV -10.97%E -6.65%K -16.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.02%EV -12.03%E -2.97%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.91%EV -9.27%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-24 11:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.19%EV -9.36%E -5.57%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -3.92%E -0.992%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.15%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -13.12%E -3.28%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-24 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.43%E -3.45%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 53.58%EV -13.13%E -8.16%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%EV -15.29%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.30%EV -13.65%E -3.84%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -11.51%E -7.02%K -17.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.38%E -4.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -17.46%E -4.60%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -8.78%E -2.34%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-24 11:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -9.89%E -5.93%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -18.55%E -4.95%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -19.73%E -5.98%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-24 11:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 1.1% | 2026-05-24 11:50 |