Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.85
assuming max odds 4.35
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Sirius (Local): 52.49%; BK Hacken (Visit): 24.39%; Draw: 23.12%. For BK Hacken (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.10%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +2.44%E +0.581%K +0.762%G +0.019% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.92%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-21 16:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.605%E -0.141%K -0.183%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-21 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.84%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.98%EV -1.99%E -0.470%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -10.23%E -5.98%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.92%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.28%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV -4.07%E -0.981%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 16:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.52%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.95%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -2.45%E -0.582%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 16:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.23%EV -11.28%E -6.68%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -9.02%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -9.16%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-21 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-21 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.54%EV -14.96%E -9.23%K -24.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-21 16:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11% | 0.6% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 16:55 |