The School of Odds
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IK Sirius v BK Hacken

2026-08-21 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 55.16%1.81fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.61%55.12%55.21%56.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.671.671.7762.89%59.78%59.88%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 22.91%4.37fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%22.95%22.90%23.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.954.004.2027.78%25.31%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.795%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%21.92%21.89%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.144.134.4026.32%24.14%24.24%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Sirius (Local): 55.16%; BK Hacken (Visit): 22.91%; Draw: 21.93%. For IK Sirius (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -2.36%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -3.50%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 03:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -3.50%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 03:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.83%EV -2.36%E -1.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV -3.50%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-16 03:05
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.91%EV -5.63%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 03:20
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 03:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -5.12%E -2.98%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 03:05
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 22.81%EV -5.86%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 04:30
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -5.03%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 03:05
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.67%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.67%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.67%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 03:04
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -6.22%E -3.66%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -10.67%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 03:03
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.48%EV -6.78%E -4.01%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.09%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.65%EV -5.03%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 03:54
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 04:14
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.80%E -0.904%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 04:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.09%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 03:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -7.33%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.09%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 03:49
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -7.33%E -4.36%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.67%E -2.74%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 03:59
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.09%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -3.50%E -0.795%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 03:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 03:34
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 03:44
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.88%E -4.72%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 03:04
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.85%EV -8.43%E -5.08%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.63%EV -13.37%E -3.38%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -5.03%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 03:49
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 03:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 03:49
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 03:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -13.37%E -3.38%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 03:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -13.37%E -3.38%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 03:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.83%EV -8.98%E -5.44%K -13.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.68%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -13.37%E -3.38%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-16 03:05
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -9.53%E -5.81%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -5.69%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 03:44
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.64%E -6.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 03:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.90%EV -10.64%E -6.57%K -17.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -12.96%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.69%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 03:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.86%EV -11.74%E -7.34%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -12.27%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -13.37%E -3.38%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 03:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.57%EV -11.74%E -7.34%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -15.25%E -4.12%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-16 03:09
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.61%EV -11.74%E -7.34%K -19.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.82%EV -17.54%E -4.87%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.57%EV -16.66%E -4.38%K -5.95%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-16 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 56.16%EV -12.29%E -7.73%K -20.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.38%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -8.98%E -2.16%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 03:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%13.0%2026-08-16 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 04:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-16 04:05

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