Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-08-21 17:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 0–3 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Sirius (Local)

Predicción 52.49%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.67%52.50%52.46%54.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.731.8561.73%57.18%57.80%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 24.39%4.10momio equitativo
EV +6.10%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.111%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%24.46%24.30%25.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.804.3528.57%26.07%26.32%22.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV -0.605%
Ventaja -0.141%
Kelly -0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.68%23.04%23.24%24.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.984.004.3026.67%25.12%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IK Sirius (Local): 52.49%; BK Hacken (Visitante): 24.39%; Empate: 23.12%. Para BK Hacken (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.10. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.35, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.10%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.70%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.38%EV +6.10%E +1.40%K +1.82%G +0.111%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.91%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-21 16:20
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV +2.44%E +0.581%K +0.762%G +0.019%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -2.92%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 16:44
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.25%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -0.605%E -0.141%K -0.183%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-21 15:59
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:20
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:20
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:20
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV +0.000%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:25
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.18%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 23.84%EV -4.63%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.98%EV -1.99%E -0.470%K -0.615%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.59%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-21 16:54
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -7.08%E -4.00%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.18%EV -10.23%E -5.98%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -2.92%E -0.694%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-21 16:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 16:49
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.56%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -11.01%E -2.86%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -11.81%E -7.03%K -17.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 16:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.28%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -5.37%E -1.38%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.06%EV -4.07%E -0.981%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-21 16:55
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -6.56%E -3.69%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-21 16:53
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.37%EV -12.86%E -7.75%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 16:20
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.52%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.95%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.53%EV -2.45%E -0.582%K -0.762%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 16:54
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -4.98%E -2.75%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 16:58
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -6.38%E -1.58%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -1.76%E -0.414%K -0.542%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -8.66%E -4.98%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -3.94%E -2.15%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 16:58
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-21 16:55
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-21 16:55
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-21 16:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.23%EV -11.28%E -6.68%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -8.70%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.14%EV -9.02%E -2.42%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.91%EV -9.16%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -5.23%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -9.71%E -5.65%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.13%E -4.65%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 16:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 16:55
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.18%E -5.31%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.32%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 16:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%EV -2.89%E -1.56%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 16:59
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.85%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 16:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -5.51%E -3.06%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-21 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-21 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.76%E -6.33%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -12.16%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 16:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.54%EV -14.96%E -9.23%K -24.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.78%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -7.54%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-21 16:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-08-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-21 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-21 16:55
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-21 16:55