Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 2–0 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prediction 52.64%1.90fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.66%52.58%55.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.751.8262.50%57.32%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 21.67%4.61fair odd
EV +6.19%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.59%
Growth +0.098%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.66%21.68%21.69%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.314.304.9026.32%23.19%23.26%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.66%25.73%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.603.8030.30%27.99%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Goteborg (Local): 52.64%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 21.67%; Draw: 25.68%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -6.29%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +6.19%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -6.29%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +6.19%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -6.29%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.83%EV +6.19%E +1.26%K +1.59%G +0.098%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-02 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV +4.03%E +0.839%K +1.06%G +0.043%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -2.40%E -0.632%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.308%E -0.067%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.86%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -0.308%E -0.067%K -0.086%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.18%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.95%EV -0.959%E -0.210%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.17%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.17%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 11:20
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.17%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 11:20
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.17%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -1.39%E -0.306%K -0.392%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 11:20
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.88%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.58%EV -1.83%E -0.403%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.25%E -1.71%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 10:50
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 11:50
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:44
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:45
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.71%EV -9.98%E -5.84%K -14.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -2.48%E -0.550%K -0.707%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 11:50
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.98%EV -5.77%E -3.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.31%EV -3.56%E -0.800%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.70%EV -5.23%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:55
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.66%EV -4.19%E -2.30%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.78%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.56%EV -3.69%E -0.983%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 11:24
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.29%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:54
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.51%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -4.64%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.90%EV -6.29%E -3.54%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV -5.73%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 05:10
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.39%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.62%EV -5.73%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -11.39%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 07:19
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.49%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 08:46
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.58%EV -8.40%E -4.83%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.28%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -12.61%E -7.60%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.35%EV -12.61%E -7.60%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%EV -6.81%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.89%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 07:40
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 08:54
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 08:54
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 08:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 07:39
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 04:55
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 05:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 04:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 04:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -8.93%E -5.16%K -12.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.09%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.82%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -11.56%E -6.88%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.60%EV -15.77%E -9.86%K -26.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.42%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.24%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-02 11:45
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -7.35%E -4.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 07:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.07%EV -9.45%E -5.50%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -4.97%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 05:10
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.22%EV -6.82%E -3.85%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -11.14%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:53
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.24%E -2.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 07:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-02 05:09
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.95%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.08%EV -13.31%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-02 11:49
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 08:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 08:24
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.87%E -4.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -15.48%E -3.97%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-02 08:30
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -10.51%E -6.18%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -17.65%E -4.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.54%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 11:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.09%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.79%0.7%2026-08-02 11:55
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.91%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.1%2026-08-02 11:55

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