La escuela de los momios

IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF

2026-08-02 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Predicción 54.65%1.83momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.15%54.64%54.63%55.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.681.681.7663.69%59.62%59.52%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Predicción 20.57%4.86momio equitativo
EV +0.810%
Ventaja +0.165%
Kelly +0.208%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.84%20.64%20.61%21.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.444.504.9025.97%22.52%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.77%4.04momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -0.867%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.77%24.72%24.76%25.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.663.653.9029.41%27.32%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.23%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +0.810%E +0.165%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.93%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 12:15
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 55.23%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +0.810%E +0.165%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.93%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 12:15
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.23%EV -3.81%E -2.17%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.84%EV +0.810%E +0.165%K +0.208%G +0.002%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.93%EV -3.38%E -0.867%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 12:15
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -4.62%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 16:45
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.89%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 15:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:15
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:10
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 54.20%EV -6.00%E -3.49%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -5.36%E -1.17%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-26 19:55
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.84%EV -6.54%E -3.83%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.61%EV -6.39%E -1.40%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.55%EV -5.36%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 16:40
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-26 16:35
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 54.76%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 15:00
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -7.64%E -4.52%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 15:00
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 15:05
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 54.87%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:15
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.42%E -1.65%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.57%E -2.62%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 12:15
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:45
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:45
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:46
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 17:45
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 54.25%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.81%E -3.00%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 15:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 54.20%EV -9.28%E -5.59%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -9.48%E -2.15%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 12:15
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 54.08%EV -9.28%E -5.59%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.64%EV -10.51%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-26 12:15
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.53%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 12:15
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 54.06%EV -10.37%E -6.32%K -16.20%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -11.53%E -2.68%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 12:21
Unibet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.23%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.67%EV -12.56%E -2.96%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -13.29%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 15:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.50%EV -12.01%E -7.46%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.65%EV -12.56%E -2.96%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.86%EV -12.55%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 15:04
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 54.43%EV -8.73%E -5.23%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.59%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.86%E -1.54%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 17:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.59%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -7.10%E -1.89%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 15:10
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.48%EV -14.20%E -9.04%K -24.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.36%EV -13.59%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.16%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-26 12:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.72%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.76%EV -17.71%E -4.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.52%EV -12.05%E -3.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 15:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 53.15%EV -11.46%E -7.08%K -18.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -17.71%E -4.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.32%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 53.33%EV -13.65%E -8.64%K -23.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.89%EV -20.79%E -5.40%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.78%EV -15.77%E -4.64%K -6.57%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-26 15:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 53.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%13.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 49.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 22.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 27.93%26.9%2026-07-26 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 49.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 22.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 27.93%26.9%2026-07-26 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 49.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 22.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 27.93%26.9%2026-07-26 16:36