Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF

Início: 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–0 Kalmar FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Previsão 48.55%2.06odd justa
EV -4.36%
Vantagem -2.21%
Kelly -4.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.41%48.72%48.61%52.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.871.891.9758.14%53.37%52.91%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Previsão 24.49%4.08odd justa
EV +15.11%
Vantagem +3.22%
Kelly +4.09%
Crescimento +0.617%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.71%24.31%24.58%25.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.913.804.7028.57%25.59%26.32%21.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.96%3.71odd justa
EV -0.252%
Vantagem -0.068%
Kelly -0.093%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.04%26.96%26.82%28.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.403.403.7031.25%29.38%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IF Elfsborg (Local): 48.55%; Kalmar FF (Visitante): 24.49%; Empate: 26.96%. Para Kalmar FF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.08. 14 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +15.11%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -15.04%E -8.59%K -20.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV +2.87%E +0.683%K +0.896%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -15.53%E -8.92%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV +2.87%E +0.683%K +0.896%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:34
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.60%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -2.76%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.28%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:51
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.80%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.15%EV -3.99%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.252%E -0.068%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 11:51
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.79%E -3.53%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:51
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:51
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -10.67%E -5.80%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.30%EV -9.70%E -5.21%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-13 11:56
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-09-13 11:56