Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg v Kalmar FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 1–0 Kalmar FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 48.55%2.06cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.41%48.72%48.61%52.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.871.891.9758.14%53.37%52.91%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.49%4.08cote équitable
EV +15.11%
Avantage +3.22%
Kelly +4.09%
Croissance +0.617%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.71%24.31%24.58%25.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.913.804.7028.57%25.59%26.32%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.252%
Avantage -0.068%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.04%26.96%26.82%28.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.403.7031.25%29.38%29.41%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IF Elfsborg (Local) : 48.55% ; Kalmar FF (Visiteur) : 24.49% ; Match nul : 26.96%. Pour Kalmar FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.08. 14 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +15.11%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.62%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.71%EV +15.11%E +3.22%K +4.09%G +0.617%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%EV -1.60%E -0.438%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -12.61%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV +7.77%E +1.77%K +2.28%G +0.177%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -15.04%E -8.59%K -20.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV +2.87%E +0.683%K +0.896%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -15.53%E -8.92%K -20.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV +2.87%E +0.683%K +0.896%G +0.026%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.32%EV -16.50%E -9.59%K -22.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV +0.419%E +0.102%K +0.135%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:34
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -2.03%E -0.508%K -0.677%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.60%EV -4.36%E -2.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.12%EV -2.76%E -0.696%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.28%EV -5.37%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-13 11:51
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.80%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.15%EV -3.99%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.21%EV -4.84%E -2.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.73%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.252%E -0.068%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 11:51
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -4.48%E -1.15%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.79%E -3.53%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -2.95%E -0.819%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.27%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:35
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -5.70%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 11:55
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.30%EV -5.82%E -3.00%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.24%EV -7.26%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:51
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -6.30%E -3.26%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:51
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:39
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 11:55
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -6.93%E -1.82%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:45
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:51
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.33%E -2.73%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.15%E -2.17%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -9.21%E -4.93%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -9.38%E -2.53%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.76%E -4.08%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.64%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.73%E -4.64%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.34%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.27%E -3.81%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.54%EV -10.67%E -5.80%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.18%E -5.51%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.73%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.16%E -6.10%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.38%E -3.81%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.03%EV -13.10%E -7.32%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.38%EV -11.83%E -3.29%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.04%E -3.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.30%EV -9.70%E -5.21%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -14.28%E -4.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-13 11:56
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-09-13 11:56