Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 2–0 IF Brommapojkarna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 51.07%1.96fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.37%51.00%51.19%52.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.811.811.9259.52%55.28%55.25%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 22.51%4.44fair odd
EV -0.746%
Edge -0.169%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.34%22.53%22.46%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.104.4126.67%24.43%24.39%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd
EV -0.916%
Edge -0.244%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.47%26.35%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.69%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Elfsborg (Local): 51.07%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 22.51%; Draw: 26.42%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.41, with an expected value of -0.746%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.10%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -6.60%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.19%EV -2.45%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.45%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.45%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 16:50
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.23%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.23%EV -3.00%E -0.695%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.54%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -3.56%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:44
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.84%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.98%EV -3.67%E -0.858%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.18%EV -8.58%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -8.85%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -8.85%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:19
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.51%EV -0.746%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:55
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:54
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:54
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:19
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.47%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:19
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:45
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:50
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:29
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.55%E -0.588%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:53
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:55
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.58%E -4.80%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -9.09%E -5.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 15:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:35
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:29
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 16:28
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.23%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.40%EV -10.42%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.37%EV -10.69%E -3.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 16:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-08 16:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 51.51%EV -12.67%E -7.41%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -14.20%E -8.45%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-08 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.0%2026-05-08 16:44