La escuela de los momios

IF Elfsborg v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-05-08 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 2–0 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Predicción 51.07%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.37%51.00%51.19%52.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.811.811.9259.52%55.28%55.25%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 22.51%4.44momio equitativo
EV -0.746%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.219%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.34%22.53%22.46%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.094.104.4126.67%24.43%24.39%22.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.42%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.916%
Ventaja -0.244%
Kelly -0.333%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.47%26.35%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7532.26%28.69%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.10%EV -1.94%E -1.01%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -6.60%E -1.59%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 16:25
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.19%EV -2.45%E -1.29%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-08 16:50
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 51.45%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 16:45
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 51.45%EV -3.48%E -1.84%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.62%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.916%E -0.244%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-08 16:50
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.23%EV -4.50%E -2.41%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.23%EV -3.00%E -0.695%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.54%EV -4.61%E -1.28%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.35%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -3.56%E -0.975%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:44
GTbets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.84%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 21.98%EV -3.67%E -0.858%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.18%EV -8.58%E -2.48%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:34
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:19
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -8.85%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:44
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -8.85%E -2.18%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -8.84%E -2.56%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 16:54
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.52%E -2.98%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 16:10
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:35
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 51.64%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.30%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-08 16:35
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -6.03%E -3.28%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -13.35%E -3.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 16:19
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.51%EV -0.746%E -0.169%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.65%EV -5.94%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-08 16:54
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:55
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.78%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%EV -0.971%E -0.221%K -0.285%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 16:34
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:54
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:54
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.54%E -3.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:19
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 51.65%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 16:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -7.05%E -3.87%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -14.47%E -3.81%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-08 16:19
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:45
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:44
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -7.56%E -4.18%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 16:50
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.88%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 16:29
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.55%E -0.588%K -0.765%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 16:34
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:45
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 51.39%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 16:44
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 16:53
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 16:55
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -8.07%E -4.48%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-08 16:34
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 51.52%EV -8.58%E -4.80%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -7.72%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 16:44
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -9.09%E -5.11%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.10%E -2.81%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.20%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 15:14
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.60%E -5.43%K -12.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 15:14
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -3.22%E -0.749%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 16:35
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -5.47%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.52%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:29
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-08 16:28
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.82%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -9.97%E -2.49%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.95%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-08 16:34
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.63%E -6.07%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 51.23%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.40%EV -10.42%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.37%EV -10.69%E -3.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-08 16:43
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -11.14%E -6.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -11.65%E -6.73%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -15.60%E -4.16%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -18.09%E -5.84%K -8.61%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-08 16:19
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.51%EV -12.67%E -7.41%K -17.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -10.16%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-08 16:44
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.75%EV -14.20%E -8.45%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.22%E -3.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -11.48%E -3.43%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-08 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.23%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.26%0.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 52.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.0%2026-05-08 16:44