Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 2–0 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 59.86%1.67fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -3.04%
Kelly -8.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.09%59.99%59.80%62.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.28%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 16.73%5.98fair odd
EV +12.92%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.290%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.42%16.74%16.72%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.645.606.7520.83%17.73%17.86%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.98%23.27%23.48%24.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.943.954.2027.03%25.39%25.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Elfsborg (Local): 59.86%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 16.73%; Draw: 23.42%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.80%EV +2.04%E +0.335%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.22%EV -2.83%E -0.681%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 12:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.58%EV +1.88%E +0.308%K +0.369%G +0.007%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.97%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.98%EV +0.204%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.46%EV -4.46%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 12:50
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.99%EV -0.632%E -0.106%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.92%EV -7.04%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:20
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -1.30%E -0.221%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 12:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.74%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.29%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.74%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.29%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 12:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.91%EV -13.21%E -9.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 12:41
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:36
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 12:55
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.86%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -4.65%E -0.815%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 12:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:56
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 12:31
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -9.02%E -5.93%K -17.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 12:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 01:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.74%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.55%EV -10.32%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -11.34%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:56
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -11.34%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:56
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -14.68%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 12:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:56
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.02%E -5.93%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -18.03%E -3.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-08-29 12:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.22%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-08-29 12:56