Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-29 13:00 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 2–0 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 59.86%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -8.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.09%59.99%59.80%62.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.531.531.5968.97%65.28%65.36%62.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.73%5.98cote équitable
EV +12.92%
Avantage +1.91%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.290%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.42%16.74%16.72%18.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.645.606.7520.83%17.73%17.86%14.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.42%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.394%
Kelly -0.517%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.98%23.27%23.48%24.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.703.943.954.2027.03%25.39%25.32%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IF Elfsborg (Local) : 59.86% ; Degerfors IF (Visiteur) : 16.73% ; Match nul : 23.42%. Pour Degerfors IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.98. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.75, soit une espérance positive de +12.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.40%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.42%EV +12.92%E +1.91%K +2.25%G +0.290%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-29 12:41
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.58%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +4.55%E +0.729%K +0.867%G +0.039%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:41
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.80%EV +2.04%E +0.335%K +0.401%G +0.008%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.22%EV -2.83%E -0.681%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 12:15
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.58%EV +1.88%E +0.308%K +0.369%G +0.007%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.97%EV -7.27%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.57%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 15.98%EV +0.204%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.46%EV -4.46%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-29 12:50
GTbets🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.94I 16.84%NM 15.99%EV -0.632%E -0.106%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.92%EV -7.04%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 09:20
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.37%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -1.30%E -0.221%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 12:35
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.80%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.52%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-29 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.61%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.47%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 12:41
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.74%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.29%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.74%EV -12.61%E -8.64%K -27.41%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.29%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-29 12:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.91%EV -13.21%E -9.11%K -29.35%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.23%EV -2.97%E -0.513%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-29 12:41
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-29 12:36
LeoVegas🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.46%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 12:55
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.86%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 12:55
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.19%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -3.81%E -0.663%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.06%EV -4.65%E -0.815%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-29 12:56
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:51
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.47%EV -4.83%E -3.04%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.89%EV -6.32%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 12:56
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 12:35
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 12:50
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 12:31
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -9.02%E -5.93%K -17.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 12:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.50%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 01:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -7.99%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.74%EV -9.62%E -6.37%K -18.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -9.67%E -1.79%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.55%EV -10.32%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 12:50
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -11.34%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:56
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.89%EV -5.43%E -3.44%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.56%EV -11.34%E -2.14%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.51%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 12:56
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 12:55
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:54
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-29 12:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-29 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.51%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -12.18%E -2.32%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-29 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.70%EV -12.01%E -8.17%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.21%EV -14.68%E -2.88%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-29 12:56
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -7.82%E -5.08%K -14.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -4.00%E -0.975%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-29 12:56
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.82%EV -10.22%E -6.81%K -20.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -16.36%E -3.27%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -12.19%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.02%E -5.93%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -18.03%E -3.68%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.09%EV -8.42%E -5.50%K -15.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.70%E -4.10%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 12:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-08-29 12:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-08-29 12:50
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.22%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-08-29 12:56