Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Brommapojkarna v Kalmar FF

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–0 Kalmar FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prediction 36.85%2.71fair odd
EV -0.517%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.50%36.76%36.94%38.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.97%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 33.89%2.95fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.82%33.90%33.81%35.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.692.672.8540.32%37.19%37.38%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.27%3.42fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.584%
Kelly -0.832%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.15%29.33%29.25%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.153.3535.71%31.83%31.75%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Brommapojkarna (Local): 36.85%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 33.89%; Draw: 29.27%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.517%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV -0.517%E -0.191%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.66%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.68%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 00:11
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -13.66%E -4.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
BetAnything🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.93%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.69%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:38
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.01%EV -8.39%E -2.68%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:38
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.28%E -6.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -12.31%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:38
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.26%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.36%EV -15.96%E -6.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.38%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -15.25%E -6.63%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-05-17 10:40