La escuela de los momios

IF Brommapojkarna v Kalmar FF

Inicio: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–0 Kalmar FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Predicción 36.85%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.517%
Ventaja -0.191%
Kelly -0.304%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.50%36.76%36.94%38.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.7043.48%39.97%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.89%2.95momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.82%33.90%33.81%35.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.482.692.672.8540.32%37.19%37.38%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.27%3.42momio equitativo
EV -1.96%
Ventaja -0.584%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%29.33%29.25%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.153.3535.71%31.83%31.75%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.10%EV -0.517%E -0.191%K -0.304%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.81%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.09%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -1.96%E -0.584%K -0.832%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -2.36%E -0.890%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.70%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:20
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.57%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.72%EV -4.44%E -1.57%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -4.20%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.18%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.66%EV -3.42%E -1.20%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.16%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 37.00%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.31%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.68%EV -3.71%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 00:11
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -6.04%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -13.66%E -4.63%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bovada2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:39
BetAnything2.53I 39.53%NM 37.12%EV -6.78%E -2.68%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -5.12%E -1.83%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -5.79%E -2.08%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -7.15%E -2.84%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.67%EV -6.13%E -2.21%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -6.93%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.42%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 10:40
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.54%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.47%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.00%EV -7.81%E -2.48%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.89%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.81%E -2.48%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -8.62%E -3.48%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.52%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.15%EV -4.88%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.14%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.16%EV -8.69%E -2.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 10:39
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -6.35%E -1.98%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -11.21%E -4.28%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-17 10:38
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.73%E -3.97%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.32%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.26%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.36%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.63%EV -8.50%E -3.15%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.01%EV -8.39%E -2.68%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 10:38
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.19%EV -10.46%E -4.31%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -11.57%E -4.82%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -15.28%E -6.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -18.05%E -6.45%K -10.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-17 10:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -12.31%E -5.17%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -11.89%E -4.57%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -12.20%E -4.07%K -6.10%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-17 10:38
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -13.59%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -9.27%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.26%EV -13.41%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.36%EV -15.96%E -6.44%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.38%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.14%EV -15.25%E -6.63%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.10%EV -10.20%E -3.85%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -10.74%E -3.52%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%1.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.29%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.1%2026-05-17 10:40