The School of Odds

IF Brommapojkarna v IK Sirius

2026-07-12 14:30 — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Option 1: IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

3.9525.32%Min
4.3822.81%Mean
4.4022.73%Median
4.6821.37%Max
20.03%4.992Min
21.76%4.595Max
20.88%4.790Mean
20.99%4.765Median
20.90%4.784IQM
20.86%4.794Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.68 under the IQM model: 20.90%

EV -2.17%Edge -0.463%Kelly -0.589%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: IK Sirius (Visit)

1.5265.79%Min
1.6361.37%Mean
1.6461.16%Median
1.6859.52%Max
54.97%1.819Min
57.54%1.738Max
56.07%1.784Mean
55.85%1.791Median
56.07%1.784IQM
56.11%1.782Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 56.07%

EV -5.81%Edge -3.46%Kelly -8.54%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.6527.40%Min
3.9425.35%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.2023.81%Max
22.19%4.506Min
24.16%4.139Max
23.06%4.337Mean
23.17%4.317Median
23.03%4.343IQM
23.03%4.343Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 23.03%

EV -3.28%Edge -0.781%Kelly -1.03%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerIF Brommapojkarna (Local) ▼IK Sirius (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet4.68I 21.37% NM 20.03%EV -2.17% E -0.463% K -0.589% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.82%EV -7.49% E -4.54% K -11.52% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.15%EV -6.74% E -1.66% K -2.21% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 17:10
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74% NM 20.37%EV -3.84% E -0.834% K -1.07% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.78%EV -7.49% E -4.54% K -11.52% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.85%EV -5.58% E -1.36% K -1.80% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 14:35
FanDuel4.60I 21.74% NM 20.26%EV -3.84% E -0.834% K -1.07% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.54%EV -9.17% E -5.66% K -14.79% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 22.19%EV -3.28% E -0.781% K -1.03% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:30
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -3.84% E -0.834% K -1.07% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.91%EV -9.17% E -5.66% K -14.79% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.05%EV -7.89% E -1.97% K -2.63% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 14:35
SportsBet4.50I 22.22% NM 20.44%EV -5.93% E -1.32% K -1.69% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 57.13%EV -9.73% E -6.04% K -15.95% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 22.43%EV -5.58% E -1.36% K -1.80% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:30
betfred_uk4.50I 22.22% NM 20.40%EV -5.93% E -1.32% K -1.69% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.66%EV -9.17% E -5.66% K -14.79% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.95%EV -7.89% E -1.97% K -2.63% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 14:30
Bet Right4.50I 22.22% NM 20.40%EV -5.93% E -1.32% K -1.69% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 56.66%EV -9.17% E -5.66% K -14.79% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.95%EV -7.89% E -1.97% K -2.63% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 14:55
888sport4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -8.02% E -1.82% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -6.37% E -3.81% K -9.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -12.49% E -3.29% K -4.46% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:30
William Hill4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -8.02% E -1.82% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -6.37% E -3.81% K -9.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -12.49% E -3.29% K -4.46% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:30
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -8.02% E -1.82% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -6.37% E -3.81% K -9.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -12.49% E -3.29% K -4.46% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:30
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73% NM 20.87%EV -8.02% E -1.82% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 54.97%EV -6.37% E -3.81% K -9.50% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.16%EV -12.49% E -3.29% K -4.46% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 14:30
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73% NM 20.62%EV -8.02% E -1.82% K -2.36% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 56.70%EV -10.29% E -6.43% K -17.15% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.68%EV -7.89% E -1.97% K -2.63% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 14:30
NordicBet4.35I 22.99% NM 21.44%EV -9.06% E -2.08% K -2.71% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.52%EV -5.81% E -3.46% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.03%EV -6.74% E -1.66% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 16:15
Betsson4.35I 22.99% NM 21.44%EV -9.06% E -2.08% K -2.71% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.52%EV -5.81% E -3.46% K -8.54% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.03%EV -6.74% E -1.66% K -2.21% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 16:15
Betway4.20I 23.81% NM 21.76%EV -12.20% E -2.90% K -3.81% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 55.39%EV -7.49% E -4.54% K -11.52% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -7.89% E -1.97% K -2.63% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 14:35
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39% NM 21.31%EV -14.29% E -3.49% K -4.61% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 56.00%EV -12.54% E -8.04% K -22.38% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 22.69%EV -11.34% E -2.95% K -3.98% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-05 14:35
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00% NM 21.67%EV -16.38% E -4.10% K -5.46% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 55.21%EV -11.97% E -7.63% K -21.01% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 23.12%EV -13.64% E -3.64% K -4.96% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-05 14:30
Winamax (FR)3.95I 25.32% NM 21.36%EV -17.43% E -4.41% K -5.91% G +0.000%1.52I 65.79% NM 55.52%EV -14.78% E -9.72% K -28.42% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.12%EV -15.95% E -4.37% K -6.02% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-05 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerIF Brommapojkarna (Local)IK Sirius (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%1.58I 63.29%3.75I 26.67%13.2%2026-07-05 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.03I 97.09%189.4%2026-07-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.03I 97.09%189.4%2026-07-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 14:35