The School of Odds

IF Brommapojkarna v IK Sirius

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 IK Sirius

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prediction 20.39%4.90fair odd
EV +12.16%
Edge +2.21%
Kelly +2.70%
Growth +0.329%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.80%20.32%20.37%21.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.624.605.5025.00%21.65%21.74%18.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 57.23%1.75fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%57.20%57.28%60.44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.451.601.611.6768.97%62.38%62.11%59.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV +0.718%
Edge +0.160%
Kelly +0.205%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.18%22.48%22.35%24.16%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.104.5026.32%24.51%24.39%22.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:20
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:19
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:20
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV +4.00%E +0.785%K +0.976%G +0.039%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.46%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -0.401%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +1.96%E +0.393%K +0.491%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.73%E -6.88%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +1.96%E +0.393%K +0.491%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.73%E -6.88%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:20
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Pinnacle4.84I 20.66%NM 19.76%EV -1.30%E -0.269%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.62%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61%EV -5.32%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 14:24
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.62%EV -11.87%E -7.71%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:19
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.98%EV -13.59%E -9.00%K -26.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 14:20
1xBet4.73I 21.14%NM 20.07%EV -3.54%E -0.749%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.90%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.03%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:19
GTbets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.33%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.23%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.44%EV -4.65%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 11:54
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 14:24
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:19
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
BetUS4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
BetAnything4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -7.12%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:15
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -14.16%E -9.44%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -11.59%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:20
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -14.16%E -9.44%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -11.59%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:24
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.76%E -0.874%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 14:24
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 13:49
betano_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:00
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 14:23
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.83%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 14:24
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -17.02%E -11.74%K -37.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -13.83%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:49
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:24
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:20
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:15
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 14:00
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.32%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:24
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.64%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.06%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:24
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:55
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 14:19
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.31%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.58%E -6.07%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -3.76%E -0.874%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:25
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -12.31%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:58
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.39%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.80%EV -11.87%E -7.71%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-12 14:24
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -18.43%E -4.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-07-12 14:24
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24