L’École des cotes

IF Brommapojkarna v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 14:30 UTC

Score final : IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 IK Sirius

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV +12.16%
Avantage +2.21%
Kelly +2.70%
Croissance +0.329%

avec la cote maximale 5.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.80%20.32%20.37%21.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.624.605.5025.00%21.65%21.74%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.23%1.75cote équitable
EV -4.43%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -6.62%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%57.20%57.28%60.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.601.611.6768.97%62.38%62.11%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.38%4.47cote équitable
EV +0.718%
Avantage +0.160%
Kelly +0.205%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.18%22.48%22.35%24.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.084.104.5026.32%24.51%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:20
ATG (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:19
Svenska Spel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.80%EV +12.16%E +2.21%K +2.70%G +0.329%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.44%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.76%EV +0.718%E +0.160%K +0.205%G +0.001%2.1%2026-07-12 14:20
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV +4.00%E +0.785%K +0.976%G +0.039%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.46%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.65%EV -0.401%E -0.090%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 14:24
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +1.96%E +0.393%K +0.491%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.73%E -6.88%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV +1.96%E +0.393%K +0.491%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -10.73%E -6.88%K -19.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 14:20
Casumo4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet (NL)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
betPARX4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -0.077%E -0.016%K -0.020%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Pinnacle4.84I 20.66%NM 19.76%EV -1.30%E -0.269%K -0.339%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.62%EV -5.01%E -3.02%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.61%EV -5.32%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 14:24
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -2.12%E -0.441%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.62%EV -11.87%E -7.71%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:59
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.15%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 14:19
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -3.14%E -0.660%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.98%EV -13.59%E -9.00%K -26.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 14:20
1xBet4.73I 21.14%NM 20.07%EV -3.54%E -0.749%K -0.950%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.90%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.03%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 14:19
GTbets4.70I 21.28%NM 20.33%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.23%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.44%EV -4.65%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 11:54
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 14:24
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:19
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
BetUS4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
BetAnything4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:20
Bovada4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -6.15%E -3.75%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -7.12%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 14:15
LiveScore Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -14.16%E -9.44%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -11.59%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:20
Virgin Bet4.70I 21.28%NM 18.79%EV -4.16%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.86%EV -14.16%E -9.44%K -28.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -11.59%E -2.93%K -3.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 14:19
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.24%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 14:24
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -3.76%E -0.874%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 14:24
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 14:19
FanDuel4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 13:49
betano_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:20
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.58%E -3.38%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.43%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -4.88%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 14:00
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.28%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 14:23
PlayUp4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.83%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 14:24
PMU (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 58.86%EV -17.02%E -11.74%K -37.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.17%EV -13.83%E -3.59%K -4.85%G +0.000%17.2%2026-07-12 14:20
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:49
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:20
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:24
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:20
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.43%E -2.65%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 14:15
Bet Right4.40I 22.73%NM 20.81%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.86%EV -7.87%E -4.89%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.23%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 14:00
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-12 13:59
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.32%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.22%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-12 14:24
Unibet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.64%EV -11.30%E -7.29%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.06%EV -9.35%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:24
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 21.26%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.82%EV -7.29%E -4.50%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.00%E -1.43%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:55
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 14:19
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -11.70%E -2.70%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 14:19
Winamax (DE)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -12.31%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -9.58%E -6.07%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -3.76%E -0.874%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 14:25
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.00%EV -12.31%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.43%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 13:58
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.44%E -5.27%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -14.95%E -3.93%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 13:59
Winamax (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.39%E -4.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 56.80%EV -11.87%E -7.71%K -21.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.87%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-12 14:24
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -18.43%E -4.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -10.16%E -6.47%K -17.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -10.47%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-07-12 14:24
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.15%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-07-12 14:24