Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.00
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Brommapojkarna (Local): 25.52%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 48.80%; Draw: 25.67%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.815%E +0.206%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -0.972%E -0.250%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.68%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 14:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -3.27%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.51%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.49%EV -11.67%E -6.45%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-06 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 14:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.37%EV -10.20%E -5.55%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-09-06 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91% | 1.6% | 2026-09-06 14:25 |