Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Brommapojkarna v IF Elfsborg

Início: 2026-09-06 14:30 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 IF Elfsborg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Previsão 25.52%3.92odd justa
EV +2.09%
Vantagem +0.523%
Kelly +0.697%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.53%25.50%25.60%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.48%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IF Elfsborg (Visitante)

Previsão 48.80%2.05odd justa
EV -2.39%
Vantagem -1.20%
Kelly -2.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.55%48.79%48.69%50.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.891.912.0056.18%52.91%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.67%3.89odd justa
EV -1.15%
Vantagem -0.300%
Kelly -0.405%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.97%25.71%25.71%26.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.583.583.8529.41%27.96%27.93%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IF Brommapojkarna (Local): 25.52%; IF Elfsborg (Visitante): 48.80%; Empate: 25.67%. Para IF Brommapojkarna (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.92. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.32%EV +2.09%E +0.523%K +0.697%G +0.015%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.41%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -1.15%E -0.300%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.815%E +0.206%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.05%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.62%EV -3.72%E -0.992%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:20
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -0.461%E -0.118%K -0.159%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -0.972%E -0.250%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.63%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.68%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:20
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.36%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 14:25
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.49%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 14:18
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.01%E -0.793%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:25
1xBet🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.08%EV -3.27%E -0.863%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.51%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 14:20
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 14:25
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:50
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.37%EV -6.30%E -3.28%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 13:50
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.57%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -8.74%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 14:20
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-06 14:10
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.54%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.49%EV -11.67%E -6.45%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.81%E -3.01%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -5.00%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 14:05
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 14:05
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:20
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 14:20
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:20
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -8.12%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.60%EV -12.64%E -7.06%K -16.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.74%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 14:25
GTbets🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.29%EV -8.37%E -2.33%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.51%EV -8.60%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 13:55
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 13:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.75%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 14:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -10.69%E -5.84%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -8.25%E -4.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -6.29%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 14:05
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-06 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.95%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.22%EV -13.13%E -7.38%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -11.42%E -3.31%K -4.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 14:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -2.39%E -1.20%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.57%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 14:05
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 14:05
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 14:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -14.50%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.37%EV -10.20%E -5.55%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.07%EV -8.86%E -2.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 14:05
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 13:50
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.79%E -3.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -12.71%E -3.74%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 13:50
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -15.78%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.15%E -6.75%K -15.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.14%E -2.90%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-06 14:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.94%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-09-06 14:20
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.48%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.91%1.6%2026-09-06 14:25