Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Brommapojkarna v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prediction 24.93%4.01fair odd
EV +4.71%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.069%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%24.82%25.12%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.704.2030.30%26.72%27.03%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.79%49.68%49.68%51.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.851.851.9758.14%54.14%54.05%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.42%3.93fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.50%25.19%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.603.8032.26%27.82%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Brommapojkarna (Local): 24.93%; AIK (Visit): 49.64%; Draw: 25.42%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.27%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +2.22%E +0.541%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:34
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:34
TABtouch🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -1.52%E -0.386%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:35
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.63%E -6.54%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.63%E -6.54%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -3.27%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.90%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.41%EV -4.15%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 16:45
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:15
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:15
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:44
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -14.61%E -8.50%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.28%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-13 16:34
DraftKings🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 11:39
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:34
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 12:00
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 12:19
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 16:38
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:45
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.28%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 10:04
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:15
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:35
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 10:05
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 12:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:34
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 12:00
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 16:10
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -21.18%E -6.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-13 16:45
1xBet🎯3.59I 27.86%NM 26.06%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.69%EV -3.64%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 10:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 10:05
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:20
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -13.99%E -4.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 11:45
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-13 12:18
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.02%EV -12.63%E -7.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.23%EV -13.05%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-13 16:33
Unibet (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.95%EV -12.63%E -7.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -17.73%E -5.37%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.6%2026-04-13 16:45