L’École des cotes

IF Brommapojkarna v AIK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 AIK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Prévision 24.93%4.01cote équitable
EV +4.71%
Avantage +1.12%
Kelly +1.47%
Croissance +0.069%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.83%24.82%25.12%26.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.704.2030.30%26.72%27.03%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AIK (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.64%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.79%49.68%49.68%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.851.851.9758.14%54.14%54.05%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.42%3.93cote équitable
EV -3.39%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.37%25.50%25.19%27.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.603.603.8032.26%27.82%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.09%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-13 16:34
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 16:34
Svenska Spel4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.35%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.83%EV +4.71%E +1.12%K +1.47%G +0.069%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.27%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.91%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV +2.22%E +0.541%K +0.715%G +0.016%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.25%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:34
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -9.65%E -5.30%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:35
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:34
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -0.277%E -0.069%K -0.092%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.14%EV -10.14%E -5.60%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 16:34
TABtouch3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -1.52%E -0.386%K -0.516%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 16:35
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 16:44
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-13 16:34
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.63%E -6.54%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:34
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -2.77%E -0.710%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.63%E -6.54%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-13 16:35
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 24.69%EV -3.27%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.90%EV -4.68%E -2.44%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.41%EV -4.15%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-13 16:45
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:15
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.02%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.14%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-13 16:15
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:44
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -6.17%E -3.27%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 16:34
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -5.26%E -1.38%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.25%EV -14.61%E -8.50%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -12.28%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-13 16:34
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 11:39
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 16:34
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.51%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 12:00
BetMGM3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.93%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 12:19
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 16:38
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -7.76%E -2.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-13 16:45
GTbets3.64I 27.47%NM 26.28%EV -9.25%E -2.54%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.55%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-13 10:04
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 16:15
BetUS3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.85%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -3.39%E -0.891%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-13 16:35
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 10:05
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.16%E -3.83%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.47%E -2.35%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-13 12:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:34
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:35
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-13 16:34
Betr (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.16%E -4.41%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-13 12:00
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -9.15%E -5.00%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.47%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-13 16:10
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -10.25%E -2.85%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -21.18%E -6.83%K -10.09%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-13 16:45
1xBet3.59I 27.86%NM 26.06%EV -10.50%E -2.92%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.25%EV -5.68%E -2.99%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.69%EV -3.64%E -0.960%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-13 16:55
LowVig.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 10:04
BetOnline.ag3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -11.50%E -3.24%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.67%E -3.55%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.20%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-13 10:05
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:20
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -12.74%E -3.64%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-13 12:19
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -13.99%E -4.05%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.14%EV -7.66%E -4.12%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -4.66%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-13 11:45
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -15.24%E -4.48%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -11.01%E -3.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-13 12:18
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.75%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.02%EV -12.63%E -7.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.23%EV -13.05%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-13 16:33
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -16.48%E -4.92%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.95%EV -12.63%E -7.17%K -16.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -13.56%E -3.99%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -17.73%E -5.37%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -9.74%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-13 11:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.49%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.37%1.1%2026-04-13 16:35
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.45%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.55%1.6%2026-04-13 16:45