The School of Odds

Hammarby IF v Kalmar FF

2026-07-12 12:00 — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Option 1: Hammarby IF (Local)

1.2977.52%Min
1.3772.78%Mean
1.3971.94%Median
1.4270.42%Max
65.17%1.535Min
68.52%1.459Max
66.63%1.501Mean
66.35%1.507Median
66.45%1.505IQM
66.66%1.500Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.42 under the IQM model: 66.45%

EV -5.64%Edge -3.97%Kelly -13.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Kalmar FF (Visit)

5.5018.18%Min
6.4615.49%Mean
6.5015.38%Median
7.0014.29%Max
13.00%7.692Min
15.30%6.536Max
14.38%6.956Mean
14.61%6.844Median
14.58%6.861IQM
14.35%6.967Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 7.00 under the IQM model: 14.58%

EV +2.03%Edge +0.289%Kelly +0.338%Growth +0.007%

Option 3: Draw

4.3023.26%Min
4.7621.02%Mean
4.8020.83%Median
5.0519.80%Max
18.36%5.446Min
20.09%4.977Max
19.00%5.264Mean
19.03%5.254Median
18.97%5.271IQM
18.98%5.268Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.05 under the IQM model: 18.97%

EV -4.19%Edge -0.830%Kelly -1.04%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHammarby IF (Local)Kalmar FF (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99% NM 68.04%EV -8.96% E -6.54% K -24.21% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.32%EV +2.03% E +0.289% K +0.338% G +0.007%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.64%EV -5.14% E -1.03% K -1.29% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 14:45
Bet Right1.38I 72.46% NM 66.79%EV -8.29% E -6.01% K -21.83% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.17%EV +2.03% E +0.289% K +0.338% G +0.007%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.04%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 16:40
FanDuel1.34I 74.63% NM 68.52%EV -10.95% E -8.17% K -32.21% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.12%EV +2.03% E +0.289% K +0.338% G +0.007%5.00I 20.00% NM 18.36%EV -5.14% E -1.03% K -1.29% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 16:40
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53% NM 67.12%EV -9.62% E -7.08% K -26.73% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.04%EV +2.03% E +0.289% K +0.338% G +0.007%4.60I 21.74% NM 19.84%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 16:40
SportsBet1.33I 75.19% NM 68.43%EV -11.62% E -8.73% K -35.20% G +0.000%7.00I 14.29% NM 13.00%EV +2.03% E +0.289% K +0.338% G +0.007%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.57%EV -7.04% E -1.44% K -1.80% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 16:40
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46% NM 67.49%EV -8.29% E -6.01% K -21.83% G +0.000%6.80I 14.71% NM 13.70%EV -0.889% E -0.131% K -0.153% G +0.000%4.95I 20.20% NM 18.82%EV -6.09% E -1.23% K -1.54% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 17:29
1xBet1.40I 71.43% NM 66.90%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.79I 14.73% NM 13.79%EV -1.03% E -0.152% K -0.179% G +0.000%4.85I 20.62% NM 19.31%EV -7.99% E -1.65% K -2.07% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 17:05
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43% NM 67.13%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.59I 15.17% NM 14.26%EV -3.95% E -0.599% K -0.707% G +0.000%5.05I 19.80% NM 18.61%EV -4.19% E -0.830% K -1.04% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 17:00
Bovada1.40I 71.43% NM 67.00%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.43%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%5.05I 19.80% NM 18.57%EV -4.19% E -0.830% K -1.04% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 16:56
888sport1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 17:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 17:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 16:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 17:00
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92% NM 67.86%EV -13.61% E -10.47% K -45.37% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 13.57%EV -5.26% E -0.809% K -0.957% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 18.57%EV -9.88% E -2.08% K -2.64% G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 16:40
Betsson1.42I 70.42% NM 65.87%EV -5.64% E -3.97% K -13.42% G +0.000%6.30I 15.87% NM 14.85%EV -8.18% E -1.30% K -1.54% G +0.000%4.85I 20.62% NM 19.29%EV -7.99% E -1.65% K -2.07% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:15
NordicBet1.42I 70.42% NM 65.87%EV -5.64% E -3.97% K -13.42% G +0.000%6.30I 15.87% NM 14.85%EV -8.18% E -1.30% K -1.54% G +0.000%4.85I 20.62% NM 19.29%EV -7.99% E -1.65% K -2.07% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:15
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94% NM 66.32%EV -7.63% E -5.49% K -19.56% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 14.87%EV -9.63% E -1.55% K -1.85% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.81%EV -7.04% E -1.44% K -1.80% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94% NM 66.32%EV -7.63% E -5.49% K -19.56% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 14.87%EV -9.63% E -1.55% K -1.85% G +0.000%4.90I 20.41% NM 18.81%EV -7.04% E -1.44% K -1.80% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 16:59
DraftKings1.40I 71.43% NM 65.57%EV -6.97% E -4.98% K -17.41% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.30%EV -12.55% E -2.09% K -2.51% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.13%EV -8.94% E -1.86% K -2.35% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 16:20
Betway1.38I 72.46% NM 65.77%EV -8.29% E -6.01% K -21.83% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.13%EV -12.55% E -2.09% K -2.51% G +0.000%4.75I 21.05% NM 19.11%EV -9.88% E -2.08% K -2.64% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 14:45
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19% NM 65.41%EV -11.62% E -8.73% K -35.20% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 14.50%EV -12.55% E -2.09% K -2.51% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.09%EV -17.85% E -4.12% K -5.36% G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-05 16:40
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76% NM 66.03%EV -12.28% E -9.30% K -38.38% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 15.03%EV -15.46% E -2.67% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 18.95%EV -12.73% E -2.77% K -3.54% G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-05 14:45
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52% NM 65.17%EV -14.28% E -11.07% K -49.23% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 15.28%EV -19.84% E -3.61% K -4.41% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 19.55%EV -18.42% E -4.28% K -5.58% G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-05 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerHammarby IF (Local)Kalmar FF (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.33I 75.19%6.00I 16.67%4.50I 22.22%14.1%2026-07-05 14:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%4.80I 20.83%3.60I 27.78%19.5%2026-07-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%4.80I 20.83%3.60I 27.78%19.5%2026-07-05 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%1.20I 83.33%3.60I 27.78%82.0%2026-07-05 17:05