La scuola delle quote

Hammarby IF v Kalmar FF

Inizio: 2026-07-12 12:00 UTC

Finale: Hammarby IF 2–0 Kalmar FF

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hammarby IF (Casa)

Previsione 66.99%1.49quota equa
EV -3.53%
Vantaggio -2.45%
Kelly -8.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.89%66.99%67.02%71.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.371.371.4480.65%72.98%72.99%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kalmar FF (Trasferta)

Previsione 14.13%7.08quota equa
EV +20.14%
Vantaggio +2.37%
Kelly +2.68%
Crescita +0.541%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.41%13.94%14.17%15.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.606.776.758.5017.86%14.77%14.81%11.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 18.88%5.30quota equa
EV +5.71%
Vantaggio +1.02%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.31%19.07%18.80%21.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.864.805.6023.81%20.59%20.83%17.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +20.14%E +2.37%K +2.68%G +0.541%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%3.2%2026-07-12 11:55
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +20.14%E +2.37%K +2.68%G +0.541%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%3.2%2026-07-12 11:55
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +20.14%E +2.37%K +2.68%G +0.541%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +5.71%E +1.02%K +1.24%G +0.071%3.2%2026-07-12 11:54
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.75%EV -7.55%E -5.47%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.74%EV +15.90%E +1.94%K +2.21%G +0.351%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 11:39
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -10.23%E -7.64%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.62%EV -10.23%E -7.64%K -30.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -8.22%E -6.00%K -22.23%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 11:34
Casumo1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.910%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.910%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 11:54
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.910%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 11:54
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 69.54%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.910%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 11:54
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -12.91%E -9.93%K -43.04%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV +6.00%E +0.800%K +0.924%G +0.055%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 11:39
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -3.53%E -2.45%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV +0.350%E +0.049%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 11:55
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -3.53%E -2.45%K -8.03%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV +0.350%E +0.049%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -17.89%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 11:54
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -8.22%E -6.00%K -22.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 11:34
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -9.56%E -7.08%K -27.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 11:34
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-12 11:14
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -9.56%E -7.08%K -27.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-12 11:34
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 68.92%EV -12.91%E -9.93%K -43.04%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 11:54
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -13.58%E -10.53%K -46.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 11:54
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 68.82%EV -13.58%E -10.53%K -46.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.68%EV -1.06%E -0.152%K -0.177%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.50%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 11:55
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 67.31%EV -4.87%E -3.43%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.87I 14.56%NM 13.91%EV -2.90%E -0.422%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.78%EV -3.92%E -0.770%K -0.959%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 10:49
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.31%EV -4.87%E -3.43%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.02%EV -3.61%E -0.529%K -0.620%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.67%EV -3.35%E -0.655%K -0.814%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 11:55
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 67.95%EV -6.88%E -4.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -3.89%E -0.572%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 67.95%EV -6.88%E -4.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -3.89%E -0.572%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 11:49
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.95%EV -6.88%E -4.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -3.89%E -0.572%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 11:54
BetAnything1.39I 71.94%NM 67.95%EV -6.88%E -4.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -3.89%E -0.572%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -1.84%E -0.355%K -0.439%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 11:49
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -4.60%E -0.681%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.40%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:34
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 69.08%EV -16.93%E -13.65%K -70.55%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.69%EV -4.60%E -0.681%K -0.800%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-12 11:54
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.92%EV -3.53%E -2.45%K -8.03%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -6.72%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.69%EV -9.02%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 11:48
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 67.27%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.27%EV -6.72%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -3.73%E -0.732%K -0.910%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 11:49
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -5.54%E -3.93%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 11:34
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -4.20%E -2.94%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 11:14
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 11:49
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 11:49
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 11:44
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 11:34
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -8.22%E -6.00%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 11:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:13
betano_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-12 11:20
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 11:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -8.13%E -1.25%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 11:49
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -4.87%E -3.43%K -11.60%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -11.66%E -1.87%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -20.72%E -4.93%K -6.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.12%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -13.78%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-12 11:49
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.15%EV -9.56%E -7.08%K -27.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -13.78%E -2.26%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -12.23%E -2.63%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-12 11:49
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:49
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:49
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:49
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:49
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:15
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.21%E -4.44%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.95%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:15
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.89%E -6.54%K -24.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 11:34
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -10.90%E -8.20%K -33.04%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -15.20%E -2.53%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 23:04
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.98%EV -7.55%E -5.47%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.43%EV -16.61%E -2.82%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-12 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.17%EV -9.56%E -7.08%K -27.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.71%EV -20.85%E -3.72%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-12 11:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 69.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.13%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.77%0.5%2026-07-12 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-07-12 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-07-12 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.67%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.66%1.1%2026-07-12 11:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-07-12 11:49