The School of Odds
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Hammarby IF v IK Sirius

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 17:46 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 2–0 IK Sirius

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 65.00%1.54fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -5.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.51%65.01%64.97%67.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.421.421.5074.07%70.61%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 15.01%6.66fair odd
EV +5.09%
Edge +0.727%
Kelly +0.848%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.49%15.11%14.93%17.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.856.136.107.0020.62%16.32%16.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.99%5.00fair odd
EV -0.038%
Edge -0.008%
Kelly -0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.58%19.88%20.10%22.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.564.505.0027.03%21.95%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 65.00%; IK Sirius (Visit): 15.01%; Draw: 19.99%. For IK Sirius (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.49%EV -4.46%E -3.03%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV +5.09%E +0.727%K +0.848%G +0.043%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.49%EV -4.46%E -3.03%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV +5.09%E +0.727%K +0.848%G +0.043%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 66.49%EV -4.46%E -3.03%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.96%EV +5.09%E +0.727%K +0.848%G +0.043%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.55%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:45
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.41%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.49%EV +4.19%E +0.603%K +0.705%G +0.029%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.09%EV -6.84%E -1.47%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 17:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.51%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.33%EV -0.468%E -0.071%K -0.083%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.17%EV -5.84%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -0.038%E -0.008%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 17:31
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:45
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:45
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:45
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -10.96%E -8.00%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-29 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-29 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -12.26%E -9.08%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -2.42%E -0.372%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -2.04%E -0.416%K -0.522%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-29 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.73%EV -3.17%E -0.492%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV -1.64%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 17:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.73%EV -3.17%E -0.492%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV -1.64%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.97%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.73%EV -3.17%E -0.492%K -0.582%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.31%EV -1.64%E -0.333%K -0.418%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-29 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.18%EV -7.06%E -4.93%K -16.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -3.92%E -0.613%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-29 17:39
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.12%EV -5.11%E -3.50%K -11.10%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.07%EV -5.27%E -0.835%K -0.993%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.81%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-29 17:29
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 17:30
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-29 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.98%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-29 17:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-29 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.17%E -0.988%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-29 17:29
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.30%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.58%EV -8.27%E -1.35%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.12%EV -5.44%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.83%EV -8.42%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-29 17:45
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.94%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.69%EV -8.42%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -12.03%E -2.73%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-29 17:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.00%EV -2.51%E -1.67%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -4.04%E -0.841%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-29 17:09
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -3.81%E -2.57%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-29 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -5.76%E -3.97%K -12.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -5.04%E -1.06%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-29 17:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-29 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-29 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-29 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 17:29
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 17:29
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-29 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.61%E -8.53%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-29 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.61%E -8.53%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.80%EV -10.96%E -8.00%K -29.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.80%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.41%EV -13.03%E -3.00%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.96%EV -11.61%E -8.53%K -32.24%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -9.93%E -1.65%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.31%EV -13.03%E -3.00%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-29 17:45
Bet Right🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.28%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -13.68%E -2.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -8.04%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.68%E -2.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:35
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -13.68%E -2.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:35
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.49%EV -11.61%E -8.53%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.25%EV -13.68%E -2.38%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.26%EV -13.43%E -3.10%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-29 17:05
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -17.43%E -3.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-29 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -6.41%E -4.45%K -14.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -17.43%E -3.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-29 14:05
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -9.01%E -6.43%K -22.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -17.43%E -3.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-29 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.81%EV -8.36%E -5.93%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%EV -17.43%E -3.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.09%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 63.31%EV -10.31%E -7.47%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.89%EV -17.43%E -3.17%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.80%EV -16.03%E -3.82%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-29 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 62.27%EV -11.61%E -8.53%K -32.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.29%EV -21.94%E -4.22%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.44%EV -21.03%E -5.32%K -7.13%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-29 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.52%EV -7.71%E -5.43%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -24.94%E -4.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.73%EV -10.03%E -2.23%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 60.51%EV -10.96%E -8.00%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.09%EV -27.19%E -5.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.40%EV -26.03%E -7.03%K -9.64%G +0.000%20.6%2026-10-29 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-10-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-10-29 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01%1.1%2026-10-29 17:40
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.90%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%2.4%2026-10-29 17:45
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.64%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-10-29 17:35