默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hammarby IF v IK Sirius

2026-10-29 17:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

胜负盘

14 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

61%

18%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hammarby IF (主队)

预测 60.50%1.65公平赔率

EV -5.61%

优势 -3.60%

Kelly -10.02%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布

60.50%60.50%60.50%62.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.451.511.511.5668.97%66.32%66.23%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

IK Sirius (客队)

预测 18.03%5.55公平赔率

EV +3.67%

优势 +0.639%

Kelly +0.774%

增长率 +0.028%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布

16.92%18.03%18.03%18.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

5.005.285.305.7520.00%18.93%18.87%17.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.46%4.66公平赔率

EV +0.885%

优势 +0.188%

Kelly +0.239%

增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 4.70

博彩公司预测分布

20.70%21.46%21.46%21.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.104.374.404.7024.39%22.89%22.73%21.28%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Hammarby IF (主队)：60.50%；IK Sirius (客队)：18.03%；平局：21.46%。对于“IK Sirius (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.55。有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.75，由此产生+3.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -5.61%E -3.60%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.92%EV +3.67%E +0.639%K +0.774%G +0.028%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +0.885%E +0.188%K +0.239%G +0.002%	2.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -5.61%E -3.60%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.92%EV +3.67%E +0.639%K +0.774%G +0.028%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +0.885%E +0.188%K +0.239%G +0.002%	2.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.37%EV -5.61%E -3.60%K -10.02%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 16.92%EV +3.67%E +0.639%K +0.774%G +0.028%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.70%EV +0.885%E +0.188%K +0.239%G +0.002%	2.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Unibet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.44%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.44%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-20 14:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.44%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Casumo🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.44%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
betPARX🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.42%EV -8.64%E -5.72%K -16.94%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -4.44%E -0.837%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -5.55%E -1.26%K -1.63%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.71%EV -9.24%E -6.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -8.04%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -8.77%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-20 14:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.56%EV -9.24%E -6.16%K -18.49%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -8.04%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -9.85%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-10-20 14:05
BetRivers🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 60.50%EV -9.85%E -6.61%K -20.10%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -9.85%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -9.85%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-10-20 14:05
TABtouch🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -10.45%E -7.06%K -21.78%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -9.85%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -9.85%E -2.34%K -3.08%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-10-20 14:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 60.68%EV -11.66%E -7.99%K -25.35%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.72%EV -9.85%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.99%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-10-20 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 60.84%EV -12.27%E -8.46%K -27.26%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -9.85%E -1.97%K -2.46%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -11.99%E -2.93%K -3.87%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-10-20 14:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。