Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v IF Brommapojkarna

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 3–1 IF Brommapojkarna

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 78.99%1.27fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -8.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.31%78.90%78.92%80.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.181.181.2488.50%85.07%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 7.82%12.79fair odd
EV +17.24%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.212%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.23%7.84%7.79%9.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.9212.0015.0010.53%8.39%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.20%7.58fair odd
EV +4.37%
Edge +0.553%
Kelly +0.633%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 7.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.13%13.26%13.30%16.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.917.007.9118.18%14.47%14.29%12.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 78.99%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 7.82%; Draw: 13.20%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.79. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:21
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.81%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -22.81%E -3.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:50
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.81%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -22.81%E -3.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:51
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.64%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%13.28I 7.53%NM 7.23%EV +3.80%E +0.286%K +0.309%G +0.012%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.13%EV +4.37%E +0.553%K +0.633%G +0.028%4.2%2026-09-13 11:51
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:21
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -27.43%E -4.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV -2.30%E -0.184%K -0.200%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.21%EV -3.67%E -0.503%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.96%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -2.30%E -0.184%K -0.200%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.68%EV -4.33%E -0.598%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 11:55
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.38%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.61%EV -3.86%E -0.314%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.01%EV -4.99%E -0.694%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 11:31
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:51
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.93%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 11:51
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -10.74%E -9.51%K -82.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.87%EV -2.05%E -1.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.43%EV -10.50%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.70%EV -6.97%E -0.989%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:21
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:56
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -17.53%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -17.93%E -1.71%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.41%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.68%EV -19.88%E -1.94%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.91%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.38%EV -10.74%E -9.51%K -82.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -21.84%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.88%EV -16.87%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.28%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -10.93%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 11:51
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-09-13 11:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.75%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.1%2026-09-13 11:56
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.34%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56