StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hammarby IF v IF Brommapojkarna

Matchstart: 2026-09-13 12:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Hammarby IF 3–1 IF Brommapojkarna

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hammarby IF (Hemma)

Prognos 78.99%1.27rättvist odds
EV -2.05%
Fördel -1.66%
Kelly -8.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.31%78.90%78.92%80.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.131.181.181.2488.50%85.07%84.75%80.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Borta)

Prognos 7.82%12.79rättvist odds
EV +17.24%
Fördel +1.15%
Kelly +1.23%
Tillväxt +0.212%

med antagandet om högsta odds 15.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
6.23%7.84%7.79%9.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.5011.9212.0015.0010.53%8.39%8.33%6.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 13.20%7.58rättvist odds
EV +4.37%
Fördel +0.553%
Kelly +0.633%
Tillväxt +0.028%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.13%13.26%13.30%16.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.506.917.007.9118.18%14.47%14.29%12.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Hammarby IF (Hemma): 78.99%; IF Brommapojkarna (Borta): 7.82%; Oavgjort: 13.20%. För IF Brommapojkarna (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 12.79. 14 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 15.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +17.24%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:21
ATG (SE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.52%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.49%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.99%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-13 11:21
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.81%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -22.81%E -3.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:50
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.81%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +17.24%E +1.15%K +1.23%G +0.212%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.96%EV -22.81%E -3.90%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:51
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.64%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%13.28I 7.53%NM 7.23%EV +3.80%E +0.286%K +0.309%G +0.012%7.91I 12.64%NM 12.13%EV +4.37%E +0.553%K +0.633%G +0.028%4.2%2026-09-13 11:51
Unibet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Casumo🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:21
Grosvenor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +1.61%E +0.124%K +0.134%G +0.002%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -27.43%E -4.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:49
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -3.63%E -2.98%K -16.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.72%EV -2.30%E -0.184%K -0.200%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.21%EV -3.67%E -0.503%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 10:25
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.96%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.36%EV -2.30%E -0.184%K -0.200%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.68%EV -4.33%E -0.598%K -0.693%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 11:55
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.38%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.30I 8.13%NM 7.61%EV -3.86%E -0.314%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.01%EV -4.99%E -0.694%K -0.805%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:45
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 11:31
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:51
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.78%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 11:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.00%E -5.05%K -31.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.93%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:20
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
888sport🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.05%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.67%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 11:51
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:14
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.50%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.55%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.57%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 79.64%EV -10.74%E -9.51%K -82.64%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -6.20%E -0.517%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.50%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.16%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%EV +0.284%E +0.037%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.29%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV -10.11%E -0.879%K -0.963%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.95%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:20
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.87%EV -2.05%E -1.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%11.45I 8.73%NM 8.43%EV -10.50%E -0.917%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.70%EV -6.97%E -0.989%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-13 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.21%E -4.34%K -26.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -1.04%E -0.138%K -0.159%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -4.42%E -3.66%K -21.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 11:21
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:55
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:56
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.31%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -14.02%E -1.27%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -17.53%E -2.80%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.88%EV -9.95%E -8.73%K -71.09%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.46%EV -17.93%E -1.71%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.66%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.41%EV -9.16%E -7.97%K -61.09%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.68%EV -19.88%E -1.94%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.91%EV -15.55%E -2.43%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.38%EV -10.74%E -9.51%K -82.64%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.74%EV -21.84%E -2.18%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.88%EV -16.87%E -2.68%K -3.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -7.58%E -6.48%K -44.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.63%E -1.09%K -1.27%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:11
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.79%E -5.76%K -37.74%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -14.23%E -2.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 07:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.28%EV -8.37%E -7.22%K -52.33%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -25.75%E -2.71%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.28%EV -10.93%E -1.62%K -1.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 11:51
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎1.21I 82.64%NM 82.14%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.02%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.83%0.6%2026-09-13 11:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.99%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-09-13 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.21I 82.64%NM 81.75%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.06%1.1%2026-09-13 11:56
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.34%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.18%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.49%1.2%2026-09-13 11:56