Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 1–2 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.43%63.89%63.76%67.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.431.441.5375.76%69.77%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 15.39%6.50fair odd
EV +15.43%
Edge +2.06%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.366%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%15.37%15.30%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.126.007.5019.61%16.35%16.67%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.78%4.81fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.377%
Kelly +0.473%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.68%20.75%20.93%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.404.404.9026.67%22.73%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 63.82%; AIK (Visit): 15.39%; Draw: 20.78%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.50. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.35%EV +3.12%E +0.465%K +0.547%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV -1.27%E -0.268%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 05:09
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -2.31%E -0.492%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 11:39
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 05:09
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.07%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.13%EV -2.89%E -0.457%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.80%EV -4.60%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -12.56%E -9.17%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -3.81%E -0.610%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -12.56%E -9.17%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -3.81%E -0.610%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetAnything🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%EV -15.75%E -11.93%K -49.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -6.12%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -14.78%E -3.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:50
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:49
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 08:30
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 11:40
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -2.35%E -1.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -9.20%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.15%EV -5.84%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 07:10
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -9.97%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.68%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:50
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.74%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 11:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -14.78%E -3.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.27%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 11:38
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.06%E -5.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-24 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.20%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 62.58%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.61%EV -19.97%E -3.84%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.81%EV -13.74%E -3.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -21.51%E -4.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-05-24 11:50