L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v AIK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 1–2 AIK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 63.82%1.57cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.43%63.89%63.76%67.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.431.441.5375.76%69.77%69.44%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AIK (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.39%6.50cote équitable
EV +15.43%
Avantage +2.06%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.366%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.98%15.37%15.30%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.106.126.007.5019.61%16.35%16.67%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.78%4.81cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.377%
Kelly +0.473%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.68%20.75%20.93%22.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.404.404.9026.67%22.73%22.73%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:20
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 67.15%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.98%EV +15.43%E +2.06%K +2.37%G +0.366%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.87%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.473%G +0.009%2.7%2026-05-24 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:30
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +3.89%E +0.576%K +0.676%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.41%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.35%EV +3.12%E +0.465%K +0.547%G +0.017%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.24%EV -1.27%E -0.268%K -0.339%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-24 10:09
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 05:09
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.23%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -2.31%E -0.492%K -0.624%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 11:39
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV +0.037%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 05:09
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -1.50%E -0.235%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-24 11:20
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 64.07%EV -4.90%E -3.29%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.31I 15.85%NM 15.13%EV -2.89%E -0.457%K -0.544%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.80%EV -4.60%E -1.00%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -12.56%E -9.17%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -3.81%E -0.610%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -12.56%E -9.17%K -33.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -3.81%E -0.610%K -0.726%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:50
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:49
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.49%EV -6.18%E -4.20%K -13.14%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -4.58%E -0.739%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:40
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%EV -15.75%E -11.93%K -49.22%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -6.12%E -1.00%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -14.78%E -3.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-24 11:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 11:50
DraftKings1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:49
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -5.54%E -3.74%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:48
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.23%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 11:49
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 63.97%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 08:30
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.75%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 10:40
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -9.37%E -6.60%K -22.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 08:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -7.66%E -1.28%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-24 11:40
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.61%EV -2.35%E -1.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.24%EV -9.20%E -1.56%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.15%EV -5.84%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 07:10
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.13%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -9.97%E -1.70%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 20.68%EV -4.80%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 11:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -10.74%E -1.85%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 11:50
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.26%E -2.84%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 11:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.45%E -5.14%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -14.78%E -3.61%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:50
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -11.51%E -2.00%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:20
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.27%EV -10.01%E -7.10%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.22%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.51%EV -9.59%E -2.20%K -2.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 11:38
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -15.35%E -2.79%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -22.06%E -5.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-24 11:40
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.73%E -6.11%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -16.89%E -3.13%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.09%E -5.62%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -19.20%E -3.66%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 62.58%EV -11.92%E -8.64%K -31.37%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.61%EV -19.97%E -3.84%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.81%EV -13.74%E -3.31%K -4.36%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -10.65%E -7.60%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.24%EV -21.51%E -4.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.62%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.22%0.9%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.35%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%1.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.77%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.13%1.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-24 11:50
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.38%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.33%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.29%2.7%2026-05-24 11:50