Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v Västerås SK

Kickoff: 2026-07-04 13:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–3 Västerås SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 32.59%3.07fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.01%32.65%32.60%33.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.29%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 39.12%2.56fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.87%39.07%39.11%39.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.17%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -1.01%
Edge -0.289%
Kelly -0.404%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.28%28.30%29.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.71%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 32.59%; Västerås SK (Visit): 39.12%; Draw: 28.28%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.19%EV -2.87%E -0.963%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.83%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetUS🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetAnything🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -4.50%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.80%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.20%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.88%EV -5.71%E -2.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.92%EV -8.36%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:35
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:29
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 02:05
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
betPARX🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 12:50
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:49
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 10:15
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.45%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.85%EV -8.65%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 12:34
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-01 21:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 08:20
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 12:45
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -14.28%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-04 08:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -15.26%E -5.87%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 02:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-07-04 12:55