La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v Västerås SK

Inicio: 2026-07-04 13:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–3 Västerås SK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 32.59%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.01%32.65%32.60%33.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.853.0038.46%35.29%35.09%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Västerås SK (Visitante)

Predicción 39.12%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.87%39.07%39.11%39.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.17%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.289%
Kelly -0.404%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.05%28.28%28.30%29.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.253.5033.33%30.71%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.61%EV -2.22%E -0.740%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.44%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.95%EV -1.01%E -0.289%K -0.404%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-04 12:30
Pinnacle2.98I 33.56%NM 32.19%EV -2.87%E -0.963%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.83%EV -3.37%E -1.36%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.98%EV -6.38%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:50
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetUS2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
BetAnything2.96I 33.78%NM 32.01%EV -3.52%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.83%EV -4.54%E -1.86%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -4.50%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.80%EV -4.93%E -2.03%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.20%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.88%EV -5.71%E -2.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.92%EV -8.36%E -2.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:45
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.93%EV -2.42%E -0.703%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 12:35
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:35
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:29
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 02:05
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:30
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.37%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.25%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 12:40
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.10%E -2.54%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 12:50
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:49
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -4.15%E -1.69%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:50
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 12:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 12:50
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:50
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.89%E -2.89%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 10:15
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:50
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:50
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.45%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.85%EV -8.65%E -2.68%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-04 12:34
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-01 21:50
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 08:20
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:50
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 12:30
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.80%E -4.74%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 12:30
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.06%E -3.43%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -8.08%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -10.02%E -4.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -5.25%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 02:10
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.07%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-04 12:45
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.32%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-04 12:40
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -14.28%E -5.43%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -13.93%E -6.33%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.15%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-04 08:20
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -15.26%E -5.87%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -11.97%E -5.32%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-04 02:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.74%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%0.8%2026-07-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.79%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.47%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.74%2.3%2026-07-04 12:55