Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v IK Sirius

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 17:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–2 IK Sirius

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 13.48%7.42fair odd
EV +14.57%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +1.94%
Growth +0.283%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.41%13.46%13.43%14.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.017.008.5016.67%14.26%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 67.45%1.48fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -8.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.41%67.43%67.53%71.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.361.361.4380.65%73.51%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.07%5.24fair odd
EV +6.77%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.31%19.10%19.04%20.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.864.815.6022.99%20.57%20.79%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 13.48%; IK Sirius (Visit): 67.45%; Draw: 19.07%. For Halmstads BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.42. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +14.57%E +1.71%K +1.94%G +0.283%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +6.77%E +1.21%K +1.47%G +0.100%3.2%2026-08-03 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +14.57%E +1.71%K +1.94%G +0.283%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +6.77%E +1.21%K +1.47%G +0.100%3.2%2026-08-03 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +14.57%E +1.71%K +1.94%G +0.283%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.28%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31%EV +6.77%E +1.21%K +1.47%G +0.100%3.2%2026-08-03 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +7.83%E +0.979%K +1.12%G +0.088%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV +1.05%E +0.198%K +0.245%G +0.003%6.6%2026-08-03 16:44
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV +7.83%E +0.979%K +1.12%G +0.088%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.56%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV +1.05%E +0.198%K +0.245%G +0.003%6.6%2026-08-03 16:44
Coolbet🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.65%EV +2.44%E +0.321%K +0.370%G +0.009%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.72%EV -4.21%E -2.97%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.63%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 16:50
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-03 16:44
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:54
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:54
Unibet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:55
betPARX🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -10.96%E -8.30%K -34.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-03 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:14
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV +1.09%E +0.146%K +0.168%G +0.002%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -12.98%E -10.06%K -44.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-03 16:55
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.62%EV -2.28%E -0.314%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.31%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -8.48%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:42
LowVig.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -2.95%E -0.410%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -2.95%E -0.410%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 16:55
BetUS🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -2.95%E -0.410%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 16:55
BetAnything🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 13.30%EV -2.95%E -0.410%K -0.476%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.92%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.78%EV -2.76%E -0.542%K -0.674%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 16:54
Pinnacle🎯7.14I 14.01%NM 13.35%EV -3.76%E -0.527%K -0.612%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.07%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.58%EV -2.19%E -0.427%K -0.530%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 16:45
GTbets🎯7.11I 14.06%NM 13.24%EV -4.16%E -0.586%K -0.682%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.53%EV -8.10%E -1.68%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:40
NordicBet🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -4.30%E -0.605%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:55
Betsson🎯7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -4.30%E -0.605%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -4.89%E -3.47%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:55
1xBet🎯7.03I 14.22%NM 13.53%EV -5.24%E -0.746%K -0.869%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.52%EV -3.54%E -2.48%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.94%EV -9.05%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 16:49
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 16:55
DraftKings🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 16:50
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.70%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 16:49
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 16:49
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 16:40
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-03 16:43
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.28%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-03 16:45
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-03 16:39
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -12.31%E -9.47%K -41.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -13.66%E -10.67%K -48.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-03 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.25%EV -13.66%E -10.67%K -48.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.09%EV -6.58%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-03 16:44
PMU (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.32%EV -5.65%E -0.807%K -0.941%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 69.53%EV -16.36%E -13.19%K -68.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.15%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-03 16:55
Bovada🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV -9.02%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.26%EV -6.24%E -4.49%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -5.62%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:50
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -9.02%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -8.48%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:44
PlayUp🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -9.02%E -1.34%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -6.91%E -5.01%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.85%EV -17.06%E -3.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.67%EV -11.04%E -1.67%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.33%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -9.44%E -1.99%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-03 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.67%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 16:14
888sport🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:49
William Hill🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -5.56%E -3.97%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-03 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.06%EV -9.61%E -7.17%K -28.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -10.39%E -2.21%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-03 16:49
Sky Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.39%E -1.91%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-03 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.57%EV -15.76%E -2.52%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 66.46%EV -7.59%E -5.54%K -20.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -8.48%E -1.77%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 16:29
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 16:29
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.26%E -6.07%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-03 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.86%EV -8.94%E -6.62%K -25.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -12.29%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 16:55
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -19.13%E -3.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.29%E -7.73%K -31.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -14.20%E -3.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-03 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%0.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%0.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%0.5%2026-08-03 16:50
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.07%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09%0.5%2026-08-03 16:55
Smarkets8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%1.0%2026-08-03 16:50

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