The School of Odds

Halmstads BK v IK Sirius

2026-08-03 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 14.50%6.90fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.211%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.98%14.50%14.53%16.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.506.376.507.0018.18%15.70%15.38%14.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 65.69%1.52fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -8.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.18%65.74%65.41%69.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.291.371.361.4677.52%72.77%73.53%68.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 19.82%5.05fair odd
EV +3.05%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.78%19.76%20.05%21.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.555.2023.81%21.78%21.98%19.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -11.98%E -8.94%K -35.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV +3.05%E +0.586%K +0.725%G +0.022%8.1%2026-07-27 10:49
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +1.06%E +0.209%K +0.260%G +0.003%9.1%2026-07-27 10:50
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 10:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -14.61%E -11.24%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 10:49
LeoVegas6.70I 14.93%NM 13.66%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 11:11
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.27%E -3.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 10:49
Pinnacle6.04I 16.56%NM 15.57%EV -12.44%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.42%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 11:50
NordicBet6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:00
Betsson6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:00
1xBet6.74I 14.84%NM 13.90%EV -2.29%E -0.340%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.51%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -9.83%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:50
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -16.64%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 12:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 10:49
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.91%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.34%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-27 10:50
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.88%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 10:48
Unibet (FR)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.06%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.81%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-27 10:50
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:46
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:45
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.33%EV -14.47%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 65.54%EV -15.26%E -11.83%K -52.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.13%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-27 10:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:11
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-07-27 12:31