L’École des cotes

Halmstads BK v IK Sirius

2026-08-03 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

21 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prévision 14.50%6.90cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +0.211%
Kelly +0.246%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.98%14.50%14.53%16.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.376.507.0018.18%15.70%15.38%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.69%1.52cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -2.81%
Kelly -8.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.18%65.74%65.41%69.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.371.361.4677.52%72.77%73.53%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.82%5.05cote équitable
EV +3.05%
Avantage +0.586%
Kelly +0.725%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.78%19.76%20.05%21.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.594.555.2023.81%21.78%21.98%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (21 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.01%EV -11.98%E -8.94%K -35.24%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV +3.05%E +0.586%K +0.725%G +0.022%8.1%2026-07-27 10:49
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV +1.06%E +0.209%K +0.260%G +0.003%9.1%2026-07-27 10:50
betfred_uk6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-27 11:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +1.48%E +0.211%K +0.246%G +0.004%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 10:50
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -5.77%E -0.888%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -14.61%E -11.24%K -48.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -0.917%E -0.183%K -0.229%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-27 10:49
LeoVegas6.70I 14.93%NM 13.66%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.28%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.88%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-27 11:11
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.27%E -3.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-27 10:49
Pinnacle6.04I 16.56%NM 15.57%EV -12.44%E -2.06%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.42%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -6.86%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 11:50
NordicBet6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:00
Betsson6.70I 14.93%NM 13.94%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.73%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -8.84%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 12:00
1xBet6.74I 14.84%NM 13.90%EV -2.29%E -0.340%K -0.399%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.51%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -9.83%E -2.16%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 11:50
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -16.64%E -2.89%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-27 12:30
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -12.64%E -9.50%K -38.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -10.83%E -2.41%K -3.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 10:49
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 13.91%EV -9.39%E -1.50%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.34%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.75%EV -12.81%E -2.91%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-27 10:50
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 12.98%EV -2.15%E -0.318%K -0.373%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.88%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.14%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-27 10:48
Unibet (FR)6.70I 14.93%NM 13.06%EV -2.87%E -0.429%K -0.504%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 66.81%EV -13.95%E -10.65%K -45.00%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.12%EV -13.80%E -3.17%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-27 10:50
888sport6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:46
William Hill6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:50
Mr Green (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:49
888sport (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -13.02%E -2.17%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-27 10:45
Winamax (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 14.33%EV -14.47%E -2.45%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 65.54%EV -15.26%E -11.83%K -52.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.13%EV -16.77%E -3.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-27 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%7.4%2026-07-27 12:11
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%8.9%2026-07-27 12:31