Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v IFK Goteborg

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 13:02 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–1 IFK Goteborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 25.07%3.99fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.681%
Kelly +0.901%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.97%25.20%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.704.1029.41%26.73%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.06%47.83%47.66%49.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.921.932.0755.87%52.09%51.81%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV +0.568%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.210%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.34%27.21%27.14%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.393.403.7033.33%29.54%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 25.07%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 47.75%; Draw: 27.18%. For Halmstads BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.81%EV -6.41%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%EV +0.568%E +0.153%K +0.210%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 12:59
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -8.32%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -8.32%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.54%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.25%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 12:59
GTbets🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.89%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 12:59
LeoVegas🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.15%E -0.597%K -0.827%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-18 13:00
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:58
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 12:55
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.11%EV -2.72%E -0.702%K -0.946%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.22%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -8.13%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:59
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 12:58
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 12:59
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 12:59
Everygame🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 12:59
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:59
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.28%E -4.88%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:00
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -1.16%E -0.561%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 12:59
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.15%EV -14.53%E -8.12%K -18.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 13:00
NordicBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:00
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 12:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.28%E -4.88%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:01
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.62%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.46%E -6.15%K -9.23%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:59
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 13:01
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -12.14%E -6.60%K -14.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.33%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.32%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-18 12:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-04-18 13:01