La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Halmstads BK v IFK Goteborg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Halmstads BK (Local)
Predicción 25.07%3.99momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.681%
Kelly +0.901%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.97%25.20%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.743.704.1029.41%26.73%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Goteborg (Visitante)
Predicción 47.75%2.09momio equitativo
EV -1.16%
Ventaja -0.561%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.06%47.83%47.66%49.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.921.932.0755.87%52.09%51.81%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.18%3.68momio equitativo
EV +0.568%
Ventaja +0.153%
Kelly +0.210%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.34%27.21%27.14%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.7033.33%29.54%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.81%EV -6.41%E -3.27%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.38%EV +0.568%E +0.153%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.78%EV +2.79%E +0.681%K +0.901%G +0.025% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.50%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.72%EV -0.791%E -0.217%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -8.32%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV +0.285%E +0.071%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%EV -8.32%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.33%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.21%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.54%EV -5.94%E -3.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.25%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| GTbets | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.89%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.10%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| LeoVegas | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -0.968%E -0.245%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.65%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -2.15%E -0.597%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| DraftKings | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Unibet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| betPARX | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -2.22%E -0.570%K -0.766%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.23%E -5.44%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.11%EV -2.72%E -0.702%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.22%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -8.13%E -2.41%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:58 |
| BetUS | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Everygame | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -3.48%E -0.903%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.12%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -4.73%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.04%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.98%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.28%E -4.88%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.01%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.49%EV -1.16%E -0.561%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.53%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -7.24%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.15%EV -14.53%E -8.12%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.49%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.50%E -2.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| 888sport | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.73%EV -9.28%E -4.88%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.71%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.62%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.46%E -6.15%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -7.37%E -3.80%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -11.00%E -3.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.89%E -3.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.30%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.80%E -4.61%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -10.71%E -5.73%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -12.25%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.80%EV -12.14%E -6.60%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.33%EV -14.76%E -4.34%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.32%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-18 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29% | 1.8% | 2026-04-18 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 13:01 |