Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–3 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 35.54%2.81fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.48%35.69%35.49%38.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.542.552.7143.48%39.40%39.22%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 34.17%2.93fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.837%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.29%34.00%34.20%35.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.723.0040.00%36.33%36.76%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.29%3.30fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.481%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%30.31%30.32%31.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.023.053.2536.36%33.12%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 35.54%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 34.17%; Draw: 30.29%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -11.86%E -4.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 17:04
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:05
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:05
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -0.907%E -0.313%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.56%E -0.481%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 08:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -0.907%E -0.313%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -15.41%E -6.47%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -1.59%E -0.552%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -15.41%E -6.47%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -1.59%E -0.552%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 09:30
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -8.30%E -3.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.08%E -0.962%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 05:34
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -18.25%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:08
BetUS🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:25
BetAnything🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:25
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:34
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.08%E -0.962%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 08:44
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:24
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.56%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.00%EV -6.37%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -7.32%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:15
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 09:25
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 09:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -9.74%E -3.27%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -9.74%E -3.27%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 08:45
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 08:35
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 08:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 08:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:49
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:34
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:39
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 08:49
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 09:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.92%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 08:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.09%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.99%EV -11.84%E -4.59%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.93%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 08:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.12%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.99%EV -12.87%E -5.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-12 08:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.92%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 10:15
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-04-12 09:50