La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v Degerfors IF

Inicio: 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–3 Degerfors IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 35.54%2.81momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.48%35.69%35.49%38.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.552.7143.48%39.40%39.22%36.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Predicción 34.17%2.93momio equitativo
EV +2.51%
Ventaja +0.837%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.29%34.00%34.20%35.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.723.0040.00%36.33%36.76%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.29%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.481%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.20%30.31%30.32%31.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.023.053.2536.36%33.12%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:05
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:05
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-10 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -11.86%E -4.78%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV +2.51%E +0.837%K +1.25%G +0.031%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 17:04
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.16%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.43%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 16:05
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:05
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.45%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV +0.801%E +0.272%K +0.411%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 17:05
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 37.08%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV -0.907%E -0.313%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.67%EV -1.56%E -0.481%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-12 08:15
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -0.907%E -0.313%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 17:04
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -15.41%E -6.47%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -1.59%E -0.552%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%EV -15.41%E -6.47%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.54%EV -1.59%E -0.552%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:05
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.40%EV -3.68%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -3.98%E -1.42%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 09:30
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 36.66%EV -8.30%E -3.22%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.78%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.08%E -0.962%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-12 05:34
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -18.25%E -7.94%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -4.32%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 16:05
Bovada2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:08
BetUS2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:25
BetAnything2.66I 37.59%NM 35.26%EV -5.46%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -5.69%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 09:25
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.59%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 08:34
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.08%E -0.962%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 08:49
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 08:44
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 35.13%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.85%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:34
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.03%E -2.19%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 08:24
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.56%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.00%EV -6.37%E -2.33%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -7.32%E -2.39%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 10:15
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 09:25
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.74%EV -4.75%E -1.77%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.23%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 09:24
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -9.74%E -3.27%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.18%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.89%EV -7.06%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.93%EV -9.74%E -3.27%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 08:45
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -5.81%E -2.19%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 08:35
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.04%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 08:35
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 08:49
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.88%E -2.63%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -7.74%E -2.87%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 08:45
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 08:49
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.62%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-12 08:49
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -9.45%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 08:34
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.59%E -2.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.71%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:39
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 08:49
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -10.47%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 09:04
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -9.37%E -3.67%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.11%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 08:45
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -12.92%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 08:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.14%E -4.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.05%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-12 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -11.16%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -16.71%E -6.08%K -9.55%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 36.09%EV -13.63%E -5.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.99%EV -11.84%E -4.59%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.93%EV -11.26%E -3.84%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 08:50
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.12%EV -14.70%E -6.12%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.99%EV -12.87%E -5.05%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -12.16%E -4.19%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-12 08:44
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -12.92%E -5.27%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -9.14%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 08:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 11:00
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.4%2026-04-12 10:15
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.97%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%2.9%2026-04-12 09:50