Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.75
assuming max odds 2.04
assuming max odds 3.98
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 27.74%; AIK (Visit): 47.59%; Draw: 24.67%. For Halmstads BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.61. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.02%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV +0.969%E +0.266%K +0.367%G +0.004% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV +0.414%E +0.114%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -6.99%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -14.34%E -7.96%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -1.53%E -0.430%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.33%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.99%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 11:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -8.15%E -4.22%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -2.55%E -0.646%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.05%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -12.42%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.57%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.57%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 11:52 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.20%EV -12.43%E -6.76%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -12.91%E -7.05%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -14.89%E -4.31%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.38%EV -6.52%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.59%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.03%EV -1.81%E -0.455%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.67%E -3.96%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.42%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -10.40%E -3.22%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.52%EV -10.53%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.39%E -7.35%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.62%E -4.01%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -10.53%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -12.91%E -7.05%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31% | 0.3% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65% | 1.4% | 2026-09-20 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 11:50 |