L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Halmstads BK v AIK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Score final : Halmstads BK 2–1 AIK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prévision 27.74%3.61cote équitable
EV +4.02%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.059%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.49%27.54%27.80%28.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.403.403.7532.26%29.41%29.41%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AIK (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.59%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.86%47.79%47.47%50.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.922.0455.56%51.83%52.08%49.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.67%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.455%
Kelly -0.607%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.48%24.67%24.73%25.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.453.693.703.9828.99%27.09%27.03%25.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Halmstads BK (Local) : 27.74% ; AIK (Visiteur) : 47.59% ; Match nul : 24.67%. Pour Halmstads BK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.61. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +4.02%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV +4.02%E +1.07%K +1.46%G +0.059%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 11:54
Betsson🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV +0.969%E +0.266%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.25%E -3.17%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.57%EV -8.22%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:59
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV +0.414%E +0.114%K +0.158%G +0.001%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.51%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.22%EV -6.99%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 11:58
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -0.141%E -0.039%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -14.34%E -7.96%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:24
GTbets🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -1.53%E -0.430%K -0.599%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.33%EV -6.72%E -3.43%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.99%EV -6.50%E -1.71%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:39
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:24
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:49
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.91%E -0.833%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Coolbet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%EV -2.92%E -1.43%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-20 11:39
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -8.15%E -4.22%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -2.55%E -0.646%K -0.865%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 11:58
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.07%EV -10.05%E -5.32%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.59%EV -12.42%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -4.30%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.57%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:55
BetUS🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.57%EV -5.29%E -2.66%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:59
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.77%E -2.91%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:58
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:49
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 11:52
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 11:50
TABtouch🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:55
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.20%EV -12.43%E -6.76%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -14.89%E -4.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -5.69%E -1.67%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -12.91%E -7.05%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -14.89%E -4.31%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-20 11:54
Pinnacle🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.38%EV -6.52%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.59%EV -4.34%E -2.16%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.03%EV -1.81%E -0.455%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 11:59
DraftKings🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.78%E -0.970%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 11:59
BetAnything🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -7.08%E -2.11%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.02%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 11:50
Bet Right🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.34%EV -7.67%E -3.96%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:49
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.46%E -2.56%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.42%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 11:54
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.20%E -3.69%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:59
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -9.10%E -4.77%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 11:59
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -9.85%E -3.03%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.96%E -6.46%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-20 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -10.40%E -3.22%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.52%EV -10.53%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:59
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:59
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.82%E -2.41%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.63%E -4.49%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -9.58%E -5.04%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -11.24%E -3.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%EV -13.39%E -7.35%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.19%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.62%E -4.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.51%EV -10.53%E -5.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -8.72%E -2.36%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:59
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -14.01%E -4.52%K -6.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%EV -12.91%E -7.05%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -7.48%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-20 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%0.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-09-20 11:55
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-09-20 11:50