Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS v Mjällby AIF

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: GAIS 0–0 Mjällby AIF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 35.69%2.80fair odd
EV +5.28%
Edge +1.79%
Kelly +2.71%
Growth +0.143%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.92%35.54%35.55%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.582.9541.67%38.11%38.83%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visit)

Prediction 35.23%2.84fair odd
EV +0.040%
Edge +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.46%35.45%35.25%38.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.572.552.8443.86%38.99%39.22%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.09%3.44fair odd
EV +0.347%
Edge +0.101%
Kelly +0.142%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.46%29.01%29.20%29.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.43%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 35.69%; Mjällby AIF (Visit): 35.23%; Draw: 29.09%. For GAIS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV +5.28%E +1.79%K +2.71%G +0.143%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV +0.347%E +0.101%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV +5.28%E +1.79%K +2.71%G +0.143%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV +0.347%E +0.101%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV +3.50%E +1.21%K +1.84%G +0.064%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.96%EV -10.53%E -4.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV +2.78%E +0.966%K +1.48%G +0.041%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -13.70%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV +2.78%E +0.966%K +1.48%G +0.041%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -13.70%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:35
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -16.16%E -6.79%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:34
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -1.86%E -0.675%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -17.22%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -1.86%E -0.675%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -17.22%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.78%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.62%EV -2.43%E -0.876%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.76%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.39%EV -5.60%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.83%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:29
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.52%EV -19.69%E -8.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.66%EV -8.28%E -3.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.11%E -0.326%K -0.461%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -3.13%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:54
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -10.07%E -3.99%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -10.07%E -3.99%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:29
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:30
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.28%EV -14.75%E -6.10%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -10.71%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:32
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.23%E -5.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 16:20
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.55%EV -11.14%E -4.47%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -1.72%E -0.617%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-04-23 16:55