La escuela de los momios

GAIS v Mjällby AIF

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: GAIS 0–0 Mjällby AIF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Predicción 35.69%2.80momio equitativo
EV +5.28%
Ventaja +1.79%
Kelly +2.71%
Crecimiento +0.143%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.92%35.54%35.55%37.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.582.9541.67%38.11%38.83%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 35.23%2.84momio equitativo
EV +0.040%
Ventaja +0.014%
Kelly +0.022%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.84

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.46%35.45%35.25%38.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.572.552.8443.86%38.99%39.22%35.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.09%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.347%
Ventaja +0.101%
Kelly +0.142%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.46%29.01%29.20%29.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.183.203.4534.72%31.43%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV +5.28%E +1.79%K +2.71%G +0.143%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV +0.347%E +0.101%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV +5.28%E +1.79%K +2.71%G +0.143%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV +0.347%E +0.101%K +0.142%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.25%EV +3.50%E +1.21%K +1.84%G +0.064%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.96%EV -10.53%E -4.14%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.78%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV +2.78%E +0.966%K +1.48%G +0.041%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -13.70%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV +2.78%E +0.966%K +1.48%G +0.041%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -13.70%E -5.59%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.32%EV -2.56%E -0.765%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:35
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -0.072%E -0.026%K -0.040%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -16.16%E -6.79%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:34
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -1.86%E -0.675%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -17.22%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -1.86%E -0.675%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -17.22%E -7.33%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:35
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.78%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.62%EV -2.43%E -0.876%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -5.76%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 35.79%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.39%EV -5.60%E -2.09%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.83%EV -4.31%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 16:29
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.89%E -1.81%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:19
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:29
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.14%EV -5.43%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.52%EV -19.69%E -8.63%K -15.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:35
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.05%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:19
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:55
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.84%EV -7.92%E -3.07%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.46%EV +0.040%E +0.014%K +0.022%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.70%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 16:54
Bovada2.57I 38.91%NM 36.66%EV -8.28%E -3.22%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 16:53
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -1.11%E -0.326%K -0.461%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.54%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.88%EV -3.13%E -1.14%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.38%E -2.66%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:54
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.47%E -1.68%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -10.07%E -3.99%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -10.07%E -3.99%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -2.07%E -0.746%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.02%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:29
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -10.18%E -3.99%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -6.92%E -2.16%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:49
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.71%E -2.94%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:54
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -8.41%E -3.24%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:30
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:29
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -12.74%E -4.25%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.12%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.28%EV -14.75%E -6.10%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.60%EV -10.71%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:32
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -15.46%E -6.44%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.23%E -5.64%K -8.63%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 16:20
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.55%EV -11.14%E -4.47%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -1.72%E -0.617%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -6.05%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:55
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.83%EV -12.56%E -5.13%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -6.65%E -2.51%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:54
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.94%E -4.77%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -9.83%E -3.17%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.86%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.20%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-04-23 16:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.03%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-04-23 16:55