Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV +2.82%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +2.00%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%42.54%42.60%43.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.152.4150.00%45.91%46.51%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 27.89%3.58fair odd
EV +0.978%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.373%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.37%28.12%27.86%30.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.243.203.6234.48%30.88%31.25%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.456%
Kelly +0.643%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.18%29.34%29.54%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.153.4534.72%31.62%31.75%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 42.66%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 27.89%; Draw: 29.44%. For GAIS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.89%EV +2.82%E +1.17%K +2.00%G +0.056%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.87%E -0.815%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 14:15
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -3.43%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.420%E +0.117%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.420%E +0.117%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 14:15
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 14:15
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV +0.978%E +0.270%K +0.373%G +0.004%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:20
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:15
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:15
Everygame🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:15
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:20
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:25
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.72%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -3.43%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -19.11%E -6.59%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 14:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:15
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.65%EV -13.82%E -6.84%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -15.48%E -5.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -12.26%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -14.67%E -7.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.67%E -7.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.21%E -5.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-06 14:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.7%2026-04-06 14:20