La escuela de los momios

GAIS v Djurgardens IF

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Predicción 42.66%2.34momio equitativo
EV +2.82%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +2.00%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.89%42.54%42.60%43.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.152.4150.00%45.91%46.51%41.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 27.89%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.978%
Ventaja +0.270%
Kelly +0.373%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.37%28.12%27.86%30.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.243.203.6234.48%30.88%31.25%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.456%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.18%29.34%29.54%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.163.153.4534.72%31.62%31.75%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.89%EV +2.82%E +1.17%K +2.00%G +0.056%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.52%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.58%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV +1.54%E +0.647%K +1.12%G +0.017%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%EV +1.57%E +0.456%K +0.643%G +0.010%2.3%2026-04-06 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.87%E -0.815%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.409%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 14:15
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.27%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.35%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -3.43%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 14:15
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.420%E +0.117%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.26%EV -4.43%E -1.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.92%EV +0.420%E +0.117%K +0.162%G +0.001%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 14:15
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -14.92%E -4.89%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 14:15
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -4.86%E -2.18%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:15
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.84%E -0.861%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 14:15
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.47%EV +0.978%E +0.270%K +0.373%G +0.004%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -4.61%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:20
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:15
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -0.975%E -0.275%K -0.382%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 14:15
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.26%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.948%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -4.31%E -1.33%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:19
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 14:15
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:25
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.75%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -5.72%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.55%EV -3.43%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:20
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.18%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -19.11%E -6.59%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 14:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.05%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.70%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.79%E -1.81%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 14:25
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -8.73%E -2.82%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -11.67%E -3.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:15
Betclic (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.65%EV -13.82%E -6.84%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.44%EV -15.48%E -5.11%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.91%EV -12.26%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.65%EV -14.67%E -7.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.43%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -13.15%E -4.46%K -6.74%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-06 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.67%E -7.34%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -15.21%E -5.28%K -8.09%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-06 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-04-06 14:20
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 43.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.7%2026-04-06 14:20