Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 13:00 UTC

Final: GAIS 1–1 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GAIS (Local)

Prediction 55.01%1.82fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.87%55.23%54.87%59.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.651.671.7367.57%60.66%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 18.44%5.42fair odd
EV +15.22%
Edge +2.44%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.441%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.69%18.31%18.55%19.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.125.106.2522.73%19.51%19.61%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.56%3.77fair odd
EV +6.23%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.08%
Growth +0.129%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.52%26.45%26.58%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.504.0033.33%28.61%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 55.01%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 18.44%; Draw: 26.56%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.42. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%EV -9.79%E -5.97%K -15.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%EV +15.22%E +2.44%K +2.90%G +0.441%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%EV +6.23%E +1.56%K +2.08%G +0.129%2.0%2026-05-16 12:55
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.49%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +6.93%E +1.19%K +1.44%G +0.100%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.95%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -11.99%E -7.49%K -19.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV +6.01%E +1.04%K +1.26%G +0.076%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -0.408%E -0.109%K -0.148%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.66%EV -13.64%E -8.69%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +3.24%E +0.579%K +0.704%G +0.023%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -1.74%E -0.469%K -0.643%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.22%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -0.447%E -0.083%K -0.102%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.32%EV -4.84%E -2.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.33I 18.76%NM 17.95%EV -1.74%E -0.326%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.73%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 12:40
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.25%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.90%EV -2.11%E -0.397%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -5.98%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 12:55
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.03%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -3.06%E -0.839%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.83%EV -14.74%E -9.51%K -26.80%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.15%EV -15.84%E -10.35%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.15%EV -15.84%E -10.35%K -29.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.79%EV -2.29%E -0.432%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:50
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -3.21%E -0.612%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:25
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.05%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -3.21%E -0.612%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 12:25
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.96%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.73%EV -3.40%E -0.648%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.31%EV -6.25%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:25
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -5.39%E -3.13%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 12:29
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:28
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -5.94%E -3.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.09%EV -4.13%E -0.795%K -0.984%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.12%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -5.98%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.95%EV -18.59%E -12.56%K -38.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.82%EV -5.98%E -1.17%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.23%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-16 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -4.39%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 12:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.92%EV -7.04%E -4.17%K -10.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -7.05%E -2.01%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 12:20
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.56%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 12:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.37%E -2.43%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -7.82%E -1.56%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.88%EV -9.24%E -5.60%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.48%EV -9.67%E -1.97%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:55
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.49%E -3.82%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -11.51%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.52%K -11.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.42%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.83%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.93%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-16 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.78%EV -10.34%E -6.34%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.80%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.42%EV -10.23%E -3.03%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 12:35
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.59%EV -10.89%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -12.43%E -2.62%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-16 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.21%EV -13.09%E -8.28%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.76%EV -14.27%E -3.07%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -11.03%E -3.29%K -4.69%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.69%EV -8.69%E -5.23%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -5.72%E -1.61%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 12:25
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.36%E -3.75%K -5.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.28%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -15.20%E -3.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -13.69%E -4.21%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -8.14%E -4.87%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -17.04%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -20.33%E -6.78%K -10.16%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-16 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.21%EV -10.89%E -6.72%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -18.88%E -4.29%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.70%E -2.85%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.65%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.79%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.56%0.4%2026-05-16 12:50
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-16 12:55
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.41%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-05-16 12:20